Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy . Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Nov 14, 2025 Loss -0.49%

The Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co., Ltd. stock price fell by -0.680% on the last day (Tuesday, 18th Nov 2025) from $10.29 to $10.22. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.96% from a day low at $10.13 to a day high of $10.43. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.82% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 7 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 5 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $47.82 million.

The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $10.36 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -11.21% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $8.34 and $9.20 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

600419.SS Signals & Forecast

The Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co., Ltd. stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $10.30. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $10.13. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, October 29, 2025, and so far it has risen 5.36%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co., Ltd. stock

Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co., Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at $9.96 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.300 between high and low, or 2.96%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.35%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $9.82 (-3.92%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 14 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (600419.SS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 19th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 19th we expect Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co., Ltd. to open at $10.26, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $10.11 and $10.33, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.222 (+/-2.19%) up or down from last closing price. If Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co., Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.19% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $10.29 (0.68%) than the support at $9.96 (2.54%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co., Ltd. stock A Buy?

Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co., Ltd. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.694 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 19, 2025 - $10.26 ( 0.391%).

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