Sheng Ye Capital Ltd Stock Forecast
Sheng Ye Capital Ltd stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The Sheng Ye Capital Ltd stock price fell by -1.51% on the last day (Friday, 3rd May 2024) from HK$4.63 to HK$4.56. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.23% from a day low at HK$4.49 to a day high of HK$4.68. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 7.29% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -62 thousand shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$4.96 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at HK$4.63 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -2.96% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$3.88 and HK$4.49 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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6069.HK Signals & Forecast
The Sheng Ye Capital Ltd stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at HK$4.45 and HK$4.29. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, May 02, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.51%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Sheng Ye Capital Ltd stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at HK$4.29 and HK$4.21. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Sheng Ye Capital Ltd finds support just below today's level at HK$4.29. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at HK$4.21 and HK$4.18.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved HK$0.190 between high and low, or 4.23%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.03%.
Our recommended stop-loss: HK$4.37 (-4.19%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (6069.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Sheng Ye Capital Ltd to open at HK$4.58, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$4.40 and HK$4.72, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.161 (+/-3.54%) up or down from last closing price. If Sheng Ye Capital Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.07% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at HK$4.60 (0.88%) than the support at HK$4.29 (5.92%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Sheng Ye Capital Ltd stock A Buy?
Sheng Ye Capital Ltd holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.481 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Sheng Ye Capital Ltd of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| HK$4.58 ( 0.365%) | HK$4.56 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 6069.HK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 4.77 | 4.53 % | |
| R2 | 4.69 | 2.94 % | ||
| R1 | 4.65 | 1.96 % | ||
| Current price: | 4.56 | |||
| Support | S1 | 4.50 | -1.23 % | |
| S2 | 4.46 | -2.21 % | ||
| S3 | 4.39 | -3.80 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 4.69 | 2.85 % | |
| R2 | 4.63 | 1.54 % | ||
| R1 | 4.60 | 0.88 % | ||
| Current price | 4.56 | |||
| Support | S1 | 4.29 | -5.92% | |
| S2 | 4.21 | -7.68% | ||
| S3 | 4.18 | -8.33% |
6069 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 24, 2024 | May 24, 2024 | Jun 17, 2024 | HK$0.269 | 5.90% |
| 2 | Jun 28, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | HK$0.0750 | 1.42% |
| 3 | Jul 04, 2022 | Jul 04, 2022 | Jul 04, 2022 | HK$0.0750 | 1.28% |
| 4 | Jun 04, 2021 | Jun 04, 2021 | Jun 04, 2021 | HK$0.0630 | 0.83% |
| 5 | Mar 20, 2020 | Jun 04, 2020 | Jun 30, 2020 | HK$0.0530 | 0.84% |
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