ELAN Corporation Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
ELAN Corporation stock upgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on May 01, 2024)
The ELAN Corporation stock price fell by -0.549% on the last day (Wednesday, 1st May 2024) from JP¥910.00 to JP¥905.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.68% from a day low at JP¥892.00 to a day high of JP¥907.00. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -0.77% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -5 thousand shares and in total, 75 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥67.51 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -11.69% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥763.93 and JP¥841.51 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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6099.T Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.84%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The ELAN Corporation stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at JP¥912.83. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at JP¥904.00. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for ELAN Corporation stock
ELAN Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥904.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥15.00 between high and low, or 1.68%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.63%.
Our recommended stop-loss: JP¥856.48 (-5.36%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 7 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (6099.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect ELAN Corporation to open at JP¥901.33, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥881.58 and JP¥928.42, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥23.42 (+/-2.59%) up or down from last closing price. If ELAN Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.18% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at JP¥904.00 (0.11%) than the resistance at JP¥918.00 (1.44%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
ELAN Corporation will release earnings BMO on Wednesday, May 08, 2024. We will update the financials statements for ELAN Corporation, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 5.89% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is ELAN Corporation stock A Buy?
ELAN Corporation holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.857 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for ELAN Corporation of Thursday, May 2, 2024
| Fair opening price May 2, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| JP¥901.33 ( 0.405%) | JP¥905.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 6099.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 916.33 | 1.25 % | |
| R2 | 910.60 | 0.619 % | ||
| R1 | 907.06 | 0.228 % | ||
| Current price: | 905.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 895.60 | -1.04 % | |
| S2 | 892.06 | -1.43 % | ||
| S3 | 886.33 | -2.06 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 982.00 | 8.51 % | |
| R2 | 937.00 | 3.54 % | ||
| R1 | 918.00 | 1.44 % | ||
| Current price | 905.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 904.00 | -0.110% | |
| S2 | 903.00 | -0.221% | ||
| S3 | 901.00 | -0.442% |
6099 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 27, 2024 | Dec 27, 2024 | Dec 27, 2024 | JP¥0 | 0% |
| 2 | Dec 29, 2022 | Dec 29, 2022 | Dec 29, 2022 | JP¥11.00 | 1.16% |
| 3 | Dec 29, 2021 | Dec 29, 2021 | Dec 29, 2021 | JP¥9.00 | 0.795% |
| 4 | Dec 29, 2020 | Dec 29, 2020 | Dec 29, 2020 | JP¥7.00 | 0.452% |
| 5 | Dec 27, 2019 | Dec 27, 2019 | Dec 27, 2019 | JP¥4.50 | 0.550% |
FAQ
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