Merck & . Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Nov 04, 2025 Gain 10.64%

The Merck & Co., Inc. stock price fell by -0.123% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from 81.20€ to 81.10€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.25% from a day low at 80.20€ to a day high of 81.20€. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 12.33% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -976 shares and in total, 4 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 306.07€ thousand.

The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at 81.29€ will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 7.31% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 74.86€ and 87.22€ at the end of this 3-month period.

6MK.F Signals & Forecast

The Merck & Co., Inc. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at 78.36€ and 75.10€. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, November 14, 2025, and so far it has fallen -0.123%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Merck & Co., Inc. stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at 75.80€ and 74.20€. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Merck & Co., Inc. finds support just below today's level at 75.80€. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at 74.20€ and 71.80€.

This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved 1.00€ between high and low, or 1.25%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.57%.

Our recommended stop-loss: 78.19€ (-3.59%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (6MK.F) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Merck & Co., Inc. to open at 80.83€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 80.22€ and 81.98€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-1.77€ (+/-2.21%) up or down from last closing price. If Merck & Co., Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.21% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at 81.20€ (0.12%) than the support at 75.80€ (6.54%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Merck & Co., Inc. stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Merck & Co., Inc. stock to perform well in the short-term. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 3.679 Buy Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - 80.83€ ( 0.329%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk