ARUHI Corporation Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Weaker technical forecast for ARUHI Corporation as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on May 02, 2024)
The ARUHI Corporation stock price fell by -0.472% on the last day (Thursday, 2nd May 2024) from JP¥847.00 to JP¥843.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.83% from a day low at JP¥843.00 to a day high of JP¥850.00. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.92% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -32 thousand shares and in total, 45 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥37.94 million.
The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at JP¥834.23 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -2.11% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥816.60 and JP¥941.47 at the end of this 3-month period.
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7198.T Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The ARUHI Corporation stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at JP¥848.29 and JP¥914.06. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 21, 2024, and so far it has fallen -13.27%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for ARUHI Corporation stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥7.00 between high and low, or 0.83%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.28%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (7198.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 7th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 7th we expect ARUHI Corporation to open at JP¥845.33, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥824.77 and JP¥861.23, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥18.23 (+/-2.16%) up or down from last closing price. If ARUHI Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.33% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ JP¥844.00, some JP¥1.00 (0.12%) from the current price of JP¥843.00, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Earnings coming up
ARUHI Corporation will release earnings BMO on Thursday, May 09, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $14.98. We will update the financials statements for ARUHI Corporation, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.28% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is ARUHI Corporation stock A Buy?
ARUHI Corporation holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.549 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for ARUHI Corporation of Tuesday, May 7, 2024
| Fair opening price May 7, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| JP¥845.33 ( 0.277%) | JP¥843.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 7198.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 852.33 | 1.11 % | |
| R2 | 849.66 | 0.790 % | ||
| R1 | 848.01 | 0.594 % | ||
| Current price: | 843.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 842.66 | -0.0404 % | |
| S2 | 841.01 | -0.236 % | ||
| S3 | 838.33 | -0.554 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 917.00 | 8.78 % | |
| R2 | 909.00 | 7.83 % | ||
| R1 | 844.00 | 0.119 % | ||
| Current price | 843.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
7198 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | JP¥0 | 0% |
| 2 | Mar 30, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | JP¥25.00 | 2.35% |
| 3 | Sep 29, 2022 | Sep 29, 2022 | Sep 29, 2022 | JP¥30.00 | 2.18% |
| 4 | Mar 30, 2022 | Mar 30, 2022 | Mar 30, 2022 | JP¥30.00 | 3.03% |
| 5 | Sep 29, 2021 | Sep 29, 2021 | Sep 29, 2021 | JP¥30.00 | 2.28% |
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