MITSUBISHI PENCIL COMPANY,LIMITED Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
MITSUBISHI PENCIL COMPANY,LIMITED stock price down 3.30% on Wednesday
(Updated on May 08, 2024)
The MITSUBISHI PENCIL COMPANY,LIMITED stock price fell by -3.30% on the last day (Wednesday, 8th May 2024) from JP¥2,366.00 to JP¥2,288.00. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.11% from a day low at JP¥2,288.00 to a day high of JP¥2,382.00. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -6.95% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 16 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 88 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥202.03 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 10.28% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥2,406.51 and JP¥2,978.78 at the end of this 3-month period.
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7976.T Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The MITSUBISHI PENCIL COMPANY,LIMITED stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at JP¥2,396.14 and JP¥2,476.03. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, March 27, 2024, and so far it has fallen -11.39%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for MITSUBISHI PENCIL COMPANY,LIMITED stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at JP¥2,084.00 and JP¥1,994.00. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, MITSUBISHI PENCIL COMPANY,LIMITED finds support just below today's level at JP¥2,084.00. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at JP¥1,994.00 and JP¥1,935.00.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥94.00 between high and low, or 4.11%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.08%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (7976.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 9th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 9th we expect MITSUBISHI PENCIL COMPANY,LIMITED to open at JP¥2,319.33, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥2,209.42 and JP¥2,366.58, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥78.58 (+/-3.43%) up or down from last closing price. If MITSUBISHI PENCIL COMPANY,LIMITED takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.87% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at JP¥2,362.00 (3.23%) than the support at JP¥2,084.00 (8.92%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is MITSUBISHI PENCIL COMPANY,LIMITED stock A Buy?
The MITSUBISHI PENCIL COMPANY,LIMITED stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe MITSUBISHI PENCIL COMPANY,LIMITED will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -1.108 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for MITSUBISHI PENCIL COMPANY,LIMITED of Thursday, May 9, 2024
| Fair opening price May 9, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| JP¥2,319.33 ( 1.37%) | JP¥2,288.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 7976.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 2,413.33 | 5.48 % | |
| R2 | 2,377.43 | 3.91 % | ||
| R1 | 2,355.24 | 2.94 % | ||
| Current price: | 2,288.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 2,283.43 | -0.200 % | |
| S2 | 2,261.24 | -1.17 % | ||
| S3 | 2,225.33 | -2.74 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 2,474.00 | 8.13 % | |
| R2 | 2,375.00 | 3.80 % | ||
| R1 | 2,362.00 | 3.23 % | ||
| Current price | 2,288.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 2,084.00 | -8.92% | |
| S2 | 1,994.00 | -12.85% | ||
| S3 | 1,935.00 | -15.43% |
7976 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 27, 2024 | Jun 27, 2024 | Jun 27, 2024 | JP¥0 | 0% |
| 2 | Dec 28, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | JP¥0 | 0% |
| 3 | Jun 29, 2023 | Jun 29, 2023 | Jun 29, 2023 | JP¥18.00 | 1.05% |
| 4 | Dec 29, 2022 | Dec 29, 2022 | Dec 29, 2022 | JP¥18.50 | 1.28% |
| 5 | Jun 29, 2022 | Jun 29, 2022 | Jun 29, 2022 | JP¥16.50 | 1.12% |
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