Great Water Holdings Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 07, 2025 Gain 2.67%

No changes to the price of Great Water Holdings Limited stock on the last trading day (Tuesday, 18th Nov 2025). During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0% from a day low at HK$0.770 to a day high of HK$0.770. The price has risen in 4 of the last 10 days but is still down by -1.28% for this period.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -19.62% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$0.479 and HK$0.685 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

8196.HK Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, November 14, 2025, and so far it has risen 1.32%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Great Water Holdings Limited stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at HK$0.779. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at HK$0.759. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell on the last day without any changes to the price. This does not cause any direct divergence but may be an early warning and a possible "turning point". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Great Water Holdings Limited stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at HK$0.700 and HK$0.690. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Great Water Holdings Limited finds support just below today's level at HK$0.700. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at HK$0.690 and HK$0.680.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved HK$0 between high and low, or 0%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 7.37%

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (8196.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 19th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 19th we expect Great Water Holdings Limited to open at HK$0.770, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$0.744 and HK$0.796, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.0518 (+/-6.96%) up or down from last closing price. If Great Water Holdings Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.96% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at HK$0.780 (1.30%) than the support at HK$0.700 (9.09%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Great Water Holdings Limited stock A Buy?

Great Water Holdings Limited holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -1.991 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 19, 2025 - HK$0.770 ( 0%).

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