Capital Finance Holdings Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 17, 2025 Loss -2.41%

The Capital Finance Holdings Limited stock price fell by -2.41% on the last day (Tuesday, 18th Nov 2025) from HK$9.56 to HK$9.33. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.647% from a day low at HK$9.27 to a day high of HK$9.33. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -4.7% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 21 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 101 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$945.69 thousand.

Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 212.95% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$29.20 and HK$40.44 at the end of this 3-month period.

8239.HK Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Capital Finance Holdings Limited stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at HK$10.32 and HK$10.08. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, November 12, 2025, and so far it has fallen -16.55%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Capital Finance Holdings Limited gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Capital Finance Holdings Limited stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at HK$7.76 and HK$7.63. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Capital Finance Holdings Limited finds support just below today's level at HK$7.76. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at HK$7.63 and HK$7.00.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved HK$0.0600 between high and low, or 0.647%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.42%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (8239.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 19th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 19th we expect Capital Finance Holdings Limited to open at HK$9.31, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$8.90 and HK$9.76, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.87 (+/-9.77%) up or down from last closing price. If Capital Finance Holdings Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.77% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at HK$9.79 (4.93%) than the support at HK$7.76 (16.83%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Capital Finance Holdings Limited stock A Buy?

The Capital Finance Holdings Limited stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Capital Finance Holdings Limited will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -4.713 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 19, 2025 - HK$9.31 ( 0.214%).

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