Nagoya Railroad . Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 05, 2025 Loss -5.01%

The Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd. stock price fell by -0.378% on the last day (Tuesday, 18th Nov 2025) from JP¥1,588.50 to JP¥1,582.50. It has now fallen 10 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.11% from a day low at JP¥1,575.00 to a day high of JP¥1,592.50. The price has fallen in 10 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.55% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 101 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥1.90 billion.

Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.72% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥1,507.79 and JP¥1,699.57 at the end of this 3-month period.

9048.T Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at JP¥1,603.43 and JP¥1,694.01. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, September 26, 2025, and so far it has fallen -13.74%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd. stock

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥17.50 between high and low, or 1.11%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.14%.

Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd. is oversold on RSI14 (9). Some stocks may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but stocks that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (9048.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 19th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 19th we expect Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd. to open at JP¥1,583.33, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥1,571.93 and JP¥1,593.07, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥21.13 (+/-1.34%) up or down from last closing price. If Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.34% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ JP¥1,798.50, some JP¥216.00 (13.65%) from the current price of JP¥1,582.50, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Dividend Warning For 9048.T

Dividend coming up for 9048.T: Ex-dividend date (Monday 30th March, 2026) is 131 days away. The dividend is JP¥0.

Is Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd. stock A Buy?

Nagoya Railroad Co., Ltd. holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -3.761 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 19, 2025 - JP¥1,583.33 ( 0.0527%).

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