Toshin Holdings . Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Oct 24, 2025 Loss -23.28%

The Toshin Holdings Co.,Ltd stock price fell by -2.90% on the last day (Tuesday, 18th Nov 2025) from JP¥482.00 to JP¥468.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.23% from a day low at JP¥465.00 to a day high of JP¥480.00. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -3.31% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 2 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 14 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥6.69 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -20.18% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥336.58 and JP¥456.93 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

9444.T Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, November 05, 2025, and so far it has risen 5.64%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Toshin Holdings Co.,Ltd stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at JP¥475.29 and JP¥565.66. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Toshin Holdings Co.,Ltd stock

Toshin Holdings Co.,Ltd finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥462.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved JP¥15.00 between high and low, or 3.23%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.59%.

Toshin Holdings Co.,Ltd is oversold on RSI14 (21). Some stock may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (9444.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 19th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 19th we expect Toshin Holdings Co.,Ltd to open at JP¥471.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥459.91 and JP¥476.09, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥16.18 (+/-3.52%) up or down from last closing price. If Toshin Holdings Co.,Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.52% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at JP¥462.00 (1.28%) than the resistance at JP¥480.00 (2.56%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Toshin Holdings Co.,Ltd stock A Buy?

Toshin Holdings Co.,Ltd holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -4.748 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 19, 2025 - JP¥471.00 ( 0.641%).

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