AAK AB (publ.) Stock Forecast
Evaluation of AAK AB (publ.) stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on May 08, 2024)
The AAK AB (publ.) stock price gained 2.33% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 8th May 2024), rising from kr283.80 to kr290.40. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.69% from a day low at kr283.00 to a day high of kr290.60. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 15.15% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -35 thousand shares and in total, 209 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately kr60.61 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock has broken the strong rising the short-term trend up and an even stronger rate of rising is indicated. For any reaction back there will now be support on the roof on the current trend broken at kr278.11, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner. According to fan-theory kr298.38 will be the next possible trend-top level and thereby pose a resistance level that may not be broken at the first attempt.
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AAK.ST Signals & Forecast
The AAK AB (publ.) stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at kr284.77 and kr260.40. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 24, 2024, and so far it has risen 16.16%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for AAK AB (publ.) stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at kr240.60 and kr236.20. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, AAK AB (publ.) finds support just below today's level at kr240.60. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at kr236.20 and kr226.20.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved kr7.60 between high and low, or 2.69%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.73%.
The AAK AB (publ.) stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (81). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the stock has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.
Our recommended stop-loss: kr282.04 (-2.88%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 81 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 9 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AAK.ST) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 10th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 10th we expect AAK AB (publ.) to open at kr288.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between kr284.19 and kr296.61, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-kr6.21 (+/-2.14%) up or down from last closing price. If AAK AB (publ.) takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.28% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ kr240.60, some kr49.80 (17.15%) from the current price of kr290.40, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is AAK AB (publ.) stock A Buy?
AAK AB (publ.) holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for AAK AB (publ.) of Friday, May 10, 2024
Fair opening price May 10, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
kr288.00 ( 0.83%) | kr290.40 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AAK.ST
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 295.60 | 1.79 % | |
R2 | 292.70 | 0.791 % | ||
R1 | 290.90 | 0.173 % | ||
Current price: | 290.40 | |||
Support | S1 | 285.10 | -1.83 % | |
S2 | 283.30 | -2.44 % | ||
S3 | 280.40 | -3.44 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 0 | . | ||
R1 | 0 | . | ||
Current price | 290.40 | |||
Support | S1 | 240.60 | -17.15% | |
S2 | 236.20 | -18.66% | ||
S3 | 226.20 | -22.11% |
AAK Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | May 10, 2024 | May 10, 2024 | May 16, 2024 | kr3.70 | 1.27% |
2 | May 05, 2023 | May 05, 2023 | May 05, 2023 | kr2.75 | 1.30% |
3 | May 19, 2022 | May 19, 2022 | May 19, 2022 | kr2.50 | 1.57% |
4 | May 10, 2021 | May 10, 2021 | May 10, 2021 | kr2.30 | 1.19% |
5 | Nov 27, 2020 | Nov 27, 2020 | Nov 27, 2020 | kr2.10 | 1.25% |
FAQ
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