American Eagle Outfitters Inc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
American Eagle Outfitters Inc stock upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on May 02, 2024)
The American Eagle Outfitters Inc stock price gained 3.25% on the last trading day (Thursday, 2nd May 2024), rising from $23.70 to $24.47. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.53% from a day low at $23.79 to a day high of $24.63. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 9.53% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 301 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $72.96 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 7.35% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $24.33 and $28.87 at the end of this 3-month period.
Ready to grow your portfolio? Here's your beginner's guide to opening a free brokerage account.
AEO Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The American Eagle Outfitters Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $23.89 and $23.99. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 9.73%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for American Eagle Outfitters Inc stock
American Eagle Outfitters Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $23.45 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.84 between high and low, or 3.53%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.75%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $23.44 (-4.22%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 12 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AEO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 3rd we expect American Eagle Outfitters Inc to open at $24.30, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $23.64 and $25.30, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.83 (+/-3.40%) up or down from last closing price. If American Eagle Outfitters Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.80% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $24.84 (1.51%) than the support at $23.45 (4.17%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is American Eagle Outfitters Inc stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for American Eagle Outfitters Inc stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.943 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for American Eagle Outfitters Inc of Friday, May 3, 2024
| Fair opening price May 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $24.30 ( 0.708%) | $24.47 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AEO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 25.14 | 2.72 % | |
| R2 | 24.82 | 1.41 % | ||
| R1 | 24.62 | 0.603 % | ||
| Current price: | 24.47 | |||
| Support | S1 | 23.98 | -2.02 % | |
| S2 | 23.78 | -2.83 % | ||
| S3 | 23.46 | -4.14 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 26.20 | 7.07 % | |
| R2 | 25.88 | 5.76 % | ||
| R1 | 24.84 | 1.51 % | ||
| Current price | 24.47 | |||
| Support | S1 | 23.45 | -4.17% | |
| S2 | 23.00 | -6.01% | ||
| S3 | 22.52 | -7.97% |
AEO Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 04, 2024 | Apr 11, 2024 | Apr 26, 2024 | $0.125 | 0.513% |
| 2 | Dec 13, 2023 | Jan 05, 2024 | Jan 19, 2024 | $0.125 | 0.618% |
| 3 | Dec 13, 2023 | Jan 04, 2024 | Jan 19, 2024 | $0.125 | 0.618% |
| 4 | Sep 13, 2023 | Oct 12, 2023 | Oct 27, 2023 | $0.100 | 0.575% |
| 5 | Jun 07, 2023 | Jul 06, 2023 | Jul 21, 2023 | $0.100 | 0.776% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy American Eagle Outfitters Inc Stock.
