Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp Stock Forecast
Stronger technical forecast for Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp stock price after Friday trading.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp stock price gained 1.03% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024), rising from $189.09 to $191.03. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.64% from a day low at $187.80 to a day high of $192.76. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.01% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -1 thousand shares and in total, 32 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $6.04 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $177.47 and $200.40 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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AGM Signals & Forecast
The Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $187.32 and $187.58. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 7.74%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, March 08, 2024 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, March 08, 2024 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp stock
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp finds support from accumulated volume at $188.25 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $4.96 between high and low, or 2.64%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.94%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $184.19 (-3.58%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 8 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AGM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation to open at $190.53, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $186.60 and $195.46, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.43 (+/-2.32%) up or down from last closing price. If Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.63% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $191.26 (0.12%) than the support at $188.25 (1.46%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation stock A Buy?
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.057 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation of Monday, April 29, 2024
Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$190.53 ( 0.262%) | $191.03 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AGM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 195.49 | 2.33 % | |
R2 | 193.60 | 1.34 % | ||
R1 | 192.42 | 0.730 % | ||
Current price: | 191.03 | |||
Support | S1 | 188.64 | -1.25 % | |
S2 | 187.46 | -1.87 % | ||
S3 | 185.57 | -2.86 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 196.88 | 3.06 % | |
R2 | 194.72 | 1.93 % | ||
R1 | 191.26 | 0.120 % | ||
Current price | 191.03 | |||
Support | S1 | 188.25 | -1.46% | |
S2 | 181.63 | -4.92% | ||
S3 | 180.56 | -5.48% |
AGM Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Feb 23, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | $1.40 | 0.711% |
2 | Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $1.10 | 0.575% |
3 | Aug 09, 2023 | Sep 14, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $1.10 | 0.713% |
4 | May 03, 2023 | Jun 15, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $1.10 | 0.765% |
5 | Feb 22, 2023 | Mar 15, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $1.10 | 0.83% |
FAQ
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