First Trust RBA American Industrial ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
First Trust RBA American Industrial ETF upgraded to Strong Buy Candidate.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The First Trust RBA American Industrial ETF price gained 2.08% on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd May 2024), rising from $65.03 to $66.38. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.38% from a day low at $65.99 to a day high of $66.90. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 7.05% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 76 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 158 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $10.47 million.
The ETF lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 9.13% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $68.40 and $76.04 at the end of this 3-month period.
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AIRR Signals & Forecast
The First Trust RBA American Industrial ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $64.87 and $64.76. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 28, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.41%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust RBA American Industrial ETF
First Trust RBA American Industrial finds support from accumulated volume at $65.77 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.91 (1.38%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.80%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $63.83 (-3.84%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 25 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AIRR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF to open at $66.42, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $65.07 and $67.69, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.31 (+/-1.98%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.96% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $66.74 (0.54%) than the support at $65.77 (0.92%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF ETF A Buy?
First Trust RBA American Industrial holds several positive signals and is within a weak rising trend. As the old saying says, "Let the trend be your friend.'". We therefore consider it to be a good choice at these current levels and we are expecting further gains during the next 3 months. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Strong Buy candidate.
Current score: 5.421 Strong Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF of Monday, May 6, 2024
Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$66.42 ( 0.0653%) | $66.38 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AIRR
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 67.33 | 1.44 % | |
R2 | 66.99 | 0.91 % | ||
R1 | 66.77 | 0.589 % | ||
Current price: | 66.38 | |||
Support | S1 | 66.08 | -0.458 % | |
S2 | 65.86 | -0.782 % | ||
S3 | 65.51 | -1.31 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 67.33 | 1.43 % | |
R2 | 67.10 | 1.08 % | ||
R1 | 66.74 | 0.542 % | ||
Current price | 66.38 | |||
Support | S1 | 65.77 | -0.92% | |
S2 | 64.81 | -2.37% | ||
S3 | 63.65 | -4.11% |
AIRR Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | $0.0096 | 0.0143% |
2 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.0447 | 0.0773% |
3 | Sep 21, 2023 | Sep 22, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.0190 | 0.0369% |
4 | Jun 26, 2023 | Jun 27, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $0.0410 | 0.0758% |
5 | Mar 23, 2023 | Mar 24, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $0.0290 | 0.0604% |
FAQ
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