Algoma Central Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Oct 06, 2025 Gain 6.93%

The Algoma Central Corporation stock price fell by -0.757% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $18.50 to $18.36. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.33% from a day low at $18.01 to a day high of $18.43. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 2.11% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 4 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 9 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $167.04 thousand.

The stock lies in the upper part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $18.52 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 6.46% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $18.09 and $19.71 at the end of this 3-month period.

ALC.TO Signals & Forecast

The Algoma Central Corporation stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $18.26 and $17.59. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, November 14, 2025, and so far it has fallen -0.757%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Algoma Central Corporation gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Algoma Central Corporation stock

Algoma Central Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $17.76 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.420 between high and low, or 2.33%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.50%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $17.80 (-3.07%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (ALC.TO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Algoma Central Corporation to open at $18.27, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $18.18 and $18.54, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.352 (+/-1.94%) up or down from last closing price. If Algoma Central Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.94% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $18.40 (0.22%) than the support at $17.76 (3.27%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For ALC.TO

Notice for ALC.TO: Ex-dividend date was Monday 17th November, 2025. The dividend was $0.200.

Is Algoma Central Corporation stock A Buy?

Algoma Central Corporation holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.578 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $18.27 ( 0.508%).

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