Alvopetro Energy Ltd. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Stronger technical forecast for Alvopetro Energy Ltd. stock price after Thursday trading.
(Updated on Jun 27, 2024)
The Alvopetro Energy Ltd. stock price gained 1.53% on the last trading day (Thursday, 27th Jun 2024), rising from $3.27 to $3.32. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.90% from a day low at $3.32 to a day high of $3.35. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -4.32% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 2 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 2 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $5.68 thousand.
The stock is at the lower part of a very wide and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $3.17 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Alvopetro Energy Ltd. stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $3.23 and $4.08 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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ALVOF Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, June 14, 2024, and so far it has risen 5.06%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Alvopetro Energy Ltd. has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Alvopetro Energy Ltd. stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $3.56. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $3.24. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Alvopetro Energy Ltd. stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $2.96 and $2.95. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Alvopetro Energy Ltd. finds support just below today's level at $2.96. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $2.95 and $2.91.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0300 between high and low, or 0.90%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.181%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $3.13 (-5.57%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 26 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ALVOF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 28th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 28th we expect Alvopetro Energy Ltd. to open at $3.33, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $3.24 and $3.40, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0812 (+/-2.45%) up or down from last closing price. If Alvopetro Energy Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.89% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $3.50 (5.42%) than the support at $2.96 (10.84%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Alvopetro Energy Ltd. stock A Buy?
Alvopetro Energy Ltd. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Alvopetro Energy Ltd. of Friday, June 28, 2024
| Fair opening price June 28, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $3.33 ( 0.301%) | $3.32 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ALVOF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 3.36 | 1.20% |
| R2 | 3.35 | 0.86% |
| R1 | 3.34 | 0.646% |
| Price | 3.32 | |
| S1 | 3.32 | -0.0440% |
| S2 | 3.31 | -0.257% |
| S3 | 3.30 | -0.602% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 3.85 | 15.96% |
| R2 | 3.77 | 13.56% |
| R1 | 3.50 | 5.42% |
| Price | 3.32 | |
| S1 | 2.96 | -10.84% |
| S2 | 2.95 | -11.20% |
| S3 | 2.91 | -12.35% |
ALVOF Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 17, 2024 | Jun 28, 2024 | Jul 15, 2024 | $0.0900 | 2.70% |
| 2 | Mar 27, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | Apr 15, 2024 | $0.0900 | 2.68% |
| 3 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | Jan 15, 2024 | $0.140 | 2.78% |
| 4 | Sep 14, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | Oct 13, 2023 | $0.140 | 2.61% |
| 5 | Jun 15, 2023 | Jun 29, 2023 | Jul 14, 2023 | $0.140 | 1.86% |
FAQ
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