Amalgamated Bank Stock Forecast
Amalgamated Bank stock upgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)
The Amalgamated Bank stock price gained 0.279% on the last trading day (Thursday, 18th Apr 2024), rising from $21.49 to $21.55. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.33% from a day low at $21.44 to a day high of $21.72. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -4.94% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -17 thousand shares and in total, 74 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.60 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $21.42 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -14.48% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $18.32 and $20.51 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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AMAL Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.279%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Amalgamated Bank stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $21.77 and $23.01. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Amalgamated Bank stock
Amalgamated Bank finds support from accumulated volume at $21.49 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.285 between high and low, or 1.33%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.87%.
Amalgamated Bank is oversold on RSI14 (20). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: $20.26 (-5.99%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. Low RSI14 is 20 which reduces the risk some. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (AMAL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Amalgamated Bank to open at $21.57, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $20.97 and $22.13, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.576 (+/-2.67%) up or down from last closing price. If Amalgamated Bank takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.35% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $21.49 (0.28%) than the resistance at $23.22 (7.75%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Amalgamated Bank will release earnings BMO on Thursday, April 25, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.720. We will update the financials statements for Amalgamated Bank, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 7.01% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Amalgamated Bank stock A Buy?
Amalgamated Bank holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.622 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Amalgamated Bank of Friday, April 19, 2024
| Fair opening price April 19, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $21.57 ( 0.0851%) | $21.55 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AMAL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 21.85 | 1.41 % | |
| R2 | 21.74 | 0.90 % | ||
| R1 | 21.68 | 0.590 % | ||
| Current price: | 21.55 | |||
| Support | S1 | 21.46 | -0.420 % | |
| S2 | 21.39 | -0.732 % | ||
| S3 | 21.28 | -1.24 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 24.78 | 14.99 % | |
| R2 | 24.00 | 11.37 % | ||
| R1 | 23.22 | 7.75 % | ||
| Current price | 21.55 | |||
| Support | S1 | 21.49 | -0.278% | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
AMAL Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 23, 2024 | Feb 05, 2024 | Feb 23, 2024 | $0.100 | 0.422% |
| 2 | Oct 24, 2023 | Nov 06, 2023 | Nov 24, 2023 | $0.100 | 0.484% |
| 3 | Jul 25, 2023 | Aug 04, 2023 | Aug 22, 2023 | $0.100 | 0.564% |
| 4 | Aug 06, 2023 | May 09, 2023 | May 24, 2023 | $0.100 | 0.661% |
| 5 | Jan 24, 2023 | Feb 03, 2023 | May 24, 2023 | $0.100 | 0.661% |
FAQ
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