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Weaker technical forecast for AMARNATH SECURITIES LTD as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Nov 18, 2025)
The AMARNATH SECURITIES LTD stock price fell by -4.08% on the last day (Tuesday, 18th Nov 2025) from ₹13.00 to ₹12.47. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.44% from a day low at ₹12.47 to a day high of ₹12.65. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -10.48% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 2 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 8 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately ₹101.01 thousand.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 13.49% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ₹14.15 and ₹20.27 at the end of this 3-month period.
AMARSEC.BO Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The AMARNATH SECURITIES LTD stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at ₹12.94 and ₹14.11. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, October 13, 2025, and so far it has fallen -26.86%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). AMARNATH SECURITIES LTD gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for AMARNATH SECURITIES LTD stock
AMARNATH SECURITIES LTD finds support from accumulated volume at ₹11.95 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved ₹0.180 between high and low, or 1.44%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.09%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (AMARSEC.BO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 19th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 19th we expect AMARNATH SECURITIES LTD to open at ₹12.53, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₹12.04 and ₹12.90, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₹0.87 (+/-7.21%) up or down from last closing price. If AMARNATH SECURITIES LTD takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.21% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at ₹12.73 (2.09%) than the support at ₹11.95 (4.17%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is AMARNATH SECURITIES LTD stock A Buy?
The AMARNATH SECURITIES LTD stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe AMARNATH SECURITIES LTD will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-2.813
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on November 19, 2025 - ₹12.53 ( 0.481%).
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AMARSEC.BO Performance
Trading levels for AMARSEC.BO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 12.71 | 1.92% |
| R2 | 12.64 | 1.37% |
| R1 | 12.60 | 1.03% |
| Price | 12.47 | |
| S1 | 12.46 | -0.0702% |
| S2 | 12.42 | -0.411% |
| S3 | 12.35 | -0.96% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 14.87 | 19.25% |
| R2 | 14.51 | 16.36% |
| R1 | 12.73 | 2.09% |
| Price | 12.47 | |
| S1 | 11.95 | -4.17% |
| S2 | 11.36 | -8.90% |
| S3 | 11.30 | -9.38% |
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