Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. Stock Forecast
Stronger technical forecast for Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. stock price after Tuesday trading.
(Updated on Jul 02, 2024)
The Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. stock price gained 0.298% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 2nd Jul 2024), rising from $3.36 to $3.37. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.74% from a day low at $3.28 to a day high of $3.37. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -7.92% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -200 thousand shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $4.67 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock is at the lower part of a wide and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $3.36 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $3.42 and $4.18 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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AMBP Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, July 01, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.298%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $3.45 and $3.80. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. stock
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. finds support from accumulated volume at $3.36 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0900 between high and low, or 2.74%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.59%.
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is oversold on RSI14 (12). Some stocks may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but stocks that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.
Our recommended stop-loss: $3.16 (-6.21%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. Low RSI14 is 12 which reduces the risk some. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 28 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AMBP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. to open at $3.34, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $3.26 and $3.48, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.108 (+/-3.21%) up or down from last closing price. If Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.41% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $3.36 (0.30%) than the resistance at $3.46 (2.67%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. stock A Buy?
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.611 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. of Wednesday, July 3, 2024
| Fair opening price July 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $3.34 ( 0.89%) | $3.37 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AMBP
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 3.43 | 1.78% |
| R2 | 3.40 | 0.760% |
| R1 | 3.37 | 0.130% |
| Price | 3.37 | |
| S1 | 3.31 | -1.91% |
| S2 | 3.28 | -2.54% |
| S3 | 3.25 | -3.56% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 4.01 | 18.99% |
| R2 | 3.48 | 3.26% |
| R1 | 3.46 | 2.67% |
| Price | 3.37 | |
| S1 | 3.36 | -0.297% |
| S2 | 3.33 | -1.19% |
| S3 | 0 | - |
AMBP Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 25, 2024 | Jun 12, 2024 | Jun 26, 2024 | $0.100 | 2.86% |
| 2 | Mar 12, 2024 | Mar 12, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | $0.100 | 2.95% |
| 3 | Oct 26, 2023 | Dec 05, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | $0.100 | 2.60% |
| 4 | Jul 27, 2023 | Sep 13, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | $0.100 | 3.21% |
| 5 | Apr 27, 2023 | Jun 13, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | $0.100 | 2.84% |
FAQ
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