American Public Education Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Green day on Friday for American Public Education
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The American Public Education stock price gained 4.38% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024), rising from $13.69 to $14.29. It has now gained 6 days in a row. It is not often that stocks manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.80% from a day low at $13.79 to a day high of $14.59. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 12.61% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -38 thousand shares and in total, 91 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.30 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 23.05% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $15.46 and $21.50 at the end of this 3-month period.
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APEI Signals & Forecast
A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, March 06, 2024, and so far it has fallen -8.22%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The American Public Education stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $13.19 and $13.26. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for American Public Education stock
American Public Education finds support from accumulated volume at $13.63 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.80 between high and low, or 5.80%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.95%.
Since the American Public Education has been rising for 6 days in a row, the risk over the next couple of days has increased. We don't expect a major reaction as the stock is in very good shape technically, and therefore hold a positive evaluation despite the very short term risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: $13.56 (-5.12%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 36 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (APEI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect American Public Education to open at $14.22, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $13.61 and $14.97, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.676 (+/-4.73%) up or down from last closing price. If American Public Education takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.47% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $14.66 (2.59%) than the support at $13.63 (4.62%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is American Public Education stock A Buy?
Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period.
Current score: 3.480 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for American Public Education of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $14.22 ( 0.467%) | $14.29 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for APEI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 15.02 | 5.13 % | |
| R2 | 14.72 | 2.99 % | ||
| R1 | 14.53 | 1.67 % | ||
| Current price: | 14.29 | |||
| Support | S1 | 13.92 | -2.61 % | |
| S2 | 13.73 | -3.93 % | ||
| S3 | 13.42 | -6.06 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 15.57 | 8.96 % | |
| R2 | 14.70 | 2.87 % | ||
| R1 | 14.66 | 2.59 % | ||
| Current price | 14.29 | |||
| Support | S1 | 13.63 | -4.62% | |
| S2 | 11.50 | -19.52% | ||
| S3 | 11.15 | -21.97% |
FAQ
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