American Public Education Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Stronger technical forecast for American Public Education stock price after Tuesday trading.
(Updated on Apr 30, 2024)
The American Public Education stock price gained 0.290% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 30th Apr 2024), rising from $13.79 to $13.83. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.17% from a day low at $13.56 to a day high of $13.99. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 10.02% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 3 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 82 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.14 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 22.18% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $15.40 and $21.40 at the end of this 3-month period.
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APEI Signals & Forecast
The American Public Education stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $13.55 and $13.35. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). American Public Education has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, March 06, 2024, and so far it has fallen -11.18%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for American Public Education stock
American Public Education finds support from accumulated volume at $13.63 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.430 between high and low, or 3.17%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.46%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $13.03 (-5.80%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 38 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (APEI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 1st we expect American Public Education to open at $13.79, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $13.18 and $14.48, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.655 (+/-4.74%) up or down from last closing price. If American Public Education takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.47% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $13.94 (0.80%) than the support at $13.63 (1.45%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
American Public Education will release earnings AMC on Tuesday, May 07, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is -$0.160. We will update the financials statements for American Public Education, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 4.76% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is American Public Education stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for American Public Education stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 3.344 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for American Public Education of Wednesday, May 1, 2024
| Fair opening price May 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $13.79 ( 0.265%) | $13.83 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for APEI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 14.22 | 2.84 % | |
| R2 | 14.06 | 1.66 % | ||
| R1 | 13.96 | 0.92 % | ||
| Current price: | 13.83 | |||
| Support | S1 | 13.63 | -1.45 % | |
| S2 | 13.53 | -2.19 % | ||
| S3 | 13.36 | -3.37 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 15.57 | 12.58 % | |
| R2 | 14.66 | 6.00 % | ||
| R1 | 13.94 | 0.795 % | ||
| Current price | 13.83 | |||
| Support | S1 | 13.63 | -1.45% | |
| S2 | 11.50 | -16.85% | ||
| S3 | 11.15 | -19.38% |
FAQ
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