AppLovin Corporation Stock Forecast
AppLovin Corporation stock upgraded to Strong Buy Candidate.
(Updated on May 06, 2024)
The AppLovin Corporation stock price gained 2.37% on the last trading day (Monday, 6th May 2024), rising from $75.07 to $76.85. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.00% from a day low at $75.30 to a day high of $77.56. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 13.26% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -200 thousand shares and in total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $210.06 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 41.58% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $97.99 and $120.65 at the end of this 3-month period.
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APP Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, April 11, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.78%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The AppLovin Corporation stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $73.07 and $71.86. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for AppLovin Corporation stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $68.86 and $59.72. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, AppLovin Corporation finds support just below today's level at $68.86. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $59.72 and $58.50.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.26 between high and low, or 3.00%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.68%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $74.20 (-3.45%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 17 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (APP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 7th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 7th we expect AppLovin Corporation to open at $76.57, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $73.56 and $80.14, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.29 (+/-4.29%) up or down from last closing price. If AppLovin Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.57% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $78.05 (1.56%) than the support at $68.86 (10.40%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
AppLovin Corporation will release earnings AMC on Wednesday, May 08, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.560. We will update the financials statements for AppLovin Corporation, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 6.28% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is AppLovin Corporation stock A Buy?
AppLovin Corporation holds several positive signals and is within a strong rising trend. As the old saying says, "Let the trend be your friend.'". We therefore consider it to be a good choice at these current levels and we are expecting further gains during the next 3 months. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Strong Buy candidate.
Current score: 5.605 Strong Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for AppLovin Corporation of Tuesday, May 7, 2024
| Fair opening price May 7, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $76.57 ( 0.364%) | $76.85 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for APP
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 78.83 | 2.58 % | |
| R2 | 77.97 | 1.45 % | ||
| R1 | 77.43 | 0.759 % | ||
| Current price: | 76.85 | |||
| Support | S1 | 75.71 | -1.49 % | |
| S2 | 75.17 | -2.18 % | ||
| S3 | 74.31 | -3.31 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 78.24 | 1.81 % | ||
| R1 | 78.05 | 1.56 % | ||
| Current price | 76.85 | |||
| Support | S1 | 68.86 | -10.40% | |
| S2 | 59.72 | -22.29% | ||
| S3 | 58.50 | -23.88% |
FAQ
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