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Alliance Resource Partners Stock Forecast NASDAQ:ARLP

$10.49 (1.45%)

Volume: 208k

Closed: Dec 08, 2021

Hollow Logo Score: -1.247

Alliance Resource Partners Stock Forecast

$10.49 (1.45%)

Volume: 208k

Closed: Dec 08, 2021

Score Hollow Logo -1.247
Which way will ARLP go? Request
Key Stats
Beta 1.1
Trailing Dividend Rate 3.82% ($0.40)
* StockInvest.us uses dynamically calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behavior.
RSImin/max Values: [ 25 - 75 ] RSI14 is 53 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold

Alliance Resource Partners stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Dec 08, 2021)

Sell candidate since 2021-12-08

The Alliance Resource Partners stock price gained 1.45% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 8th Dec 2021), rising from $10.34 to $10.49. , and has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the day the stock fluctuated 3.79% from a day low at $10.29 to a day high of $10.68. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -4.81% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -437 thousand shares and in total, 208 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.18 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies in the lower part of a very wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $9.96 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 4.32% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $10.39 and $13.38 at the end of this 3-month period.

Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, December 01, 2021, and so far it has risen 5.75%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Alliance Resource Partners stock holds a buy signal from the short-term moving average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term moving average at $11.01. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $10.21. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss

Alliance Resource Partners finds support from accumulated volume at $10.34 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.39 between high and low, or 3.79%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 5.31%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold an negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Is Alliance Resource Partners stock A Buy?

Alliance Resource Partners holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -1.247

Predicted Opening Price for Alliance Resource Partners of Thursday, December 9, 2021

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and the closing price.

Fair opening price December 9, 2021 Current price
$10.49 $10.49 (Overvalued)
Sell Candidate Downgraded

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Analyst Ratings

B. Riley does not see either upside or downside right now giving ARLP "Neutral" on their last update on Apr 17, 2020. The price target was changed from $6.00 to $7.00.

Volatility and Risk
Daily Average Volatility: 5.31 %
Overall Risk: Very High High Medium Low Very Low
5.31 %
Daily Average Volatility
Overall Risk

Very High
Very Low

Support & Resistance

Resistance: $10.87
Price: $10.49
Support: $10.34

ARLP Insider Trading Show all Trades



Last 100 transactions
Buy: 908 558 | Sell: 439 586 (Shares)
Date Action Amount Person Type
Nov 12, 2021 Buy 379 Whelan Timothy J Phantom unit
Nov 12, 2021 Buy 1 089 Wynne Thomas M Phantom unit
Nov 12, 2021 Buy 649 Tholen Kirk Phantom unit
Nov 12, 2021 Buy 169 Torrence Wilson M Phantom unit
Nov 12, 2021 Buy 1 167 Sachse Robert G Phantom unit
Show all Insider Trades


Last 100 transactions
Buy: 908 558 | Sell: 439 586 (Shares)

Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price Change
Resistance 10.88 3.69 %
10.73 2.27 %
10.64 1.39 %
Current price: 10.49
Support 10.34 -1.45 %
10.25 -2.33 %
10.10 -3.75 %

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price Chg %
Resistance 12.20 16.30 %
11.92 13.63 %
10.87 3.62 %
Current price 10.49
Support 10.34 -1.43%
10.23 -2.48%
10.22 -2.57%

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About Alliance Resource Partners

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. produces and markets coal primarily to utilities and industrial users in the United States. It operates in two segments, Illinois Basin and Appalachia; and Other and Corporate. The company operates 10 underground mining complexes in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, and West Virginia. It also leases land and operates a coal loading terminal on the Ohio River at Mt. Vernon, Indiana; and purchases and resells c... Read more

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