Alliance Resource Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Aug 07, 2026

The Alliance Resource stock price fell by -2.76% on the last day (Friday, 7th Aug 2026) from $25.32 to $24.62. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.98% from a day low at $24.22 to a day high of $24.70. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.36% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -118 thousand shares and in total, 558 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $13.73 million.

The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Alliance Resource stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $23.58 and $26.24 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

ARLP Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Alliance Resource stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $25.62 and $24.73. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, July 30, 2026, and so far it has fallen -5.99%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Alliance Resource stock

Alliance Resource finds support from accumulated volume at $24.41 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.480 (1.98%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.71%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (ARLP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 10th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 10th we expect Alliance Resource Partners to open at $24.51, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $24.32 and $24.92, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.601 (+/-2.47%) up or down from last closing price. If Alliance Resource Partners takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.47% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $24.41 (0.85%) than the resistance at $25.27 (2.64%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Alliance Resource Partners stock A Buy?

Alliance Resource holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -2.008 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 10, 2026 - $24.51 ( 0.433%).

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