Arrow Financial Corporation stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Sell Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Nov 26, 2021)
Sell candidate since 2021-11-26 PDF
The Arrow Financial Corporation stock price fell by -3.96% on the last day (Friday, 26th Nov 2021) from $36.84 to $35.38. and has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the day the stock fluctuated 4.75% from a day low at $35.06 to a day high of $36.73. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -6.35% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 10 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 17 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $618.05 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 4.51% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $35.56 and $39.99 at the end of this 3-month period.
Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Arrow Financial Corporation stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term moving averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $36.39 and $36.34. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, November 05, 2021, and so far it has fallen -6.65%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Arrow Financial Corporation gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss
Arrow Financial Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $34.45 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $1.67 between high and low, or 4.75%. For the last week the stock has had a daily average volatility of 3.09%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold an negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Is Arrow Financial Corporation stock A Buy?
The Arrow Financial Corporation stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Arrow Financial Corporation will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.383
Predicted Opening Price for Arrow Financial Corporation of Monday, November 29, 2021
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and the closing price.
|Fair opening price November 29, 2021||Current price|
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Piper Sandler does not see either upside or downside right now giving AROW "Neutral" on their last update on Sep 28, 2020. The price target was changed from $30.00 to $28.00.
AROW Insider Trading
|Nov 09, 2021||Sell||800||O'conor Raymond F||Common Stock|
|Nov 02, 2021||Sell||1 000||Wise Andrew J||Employee Stock Option (Right to Buy)|
|Nov 02, 2021||Buy||1 000||Wise Andrew J||Common Stock|
|Nov 02, 2021||Sell||805||Wise Andrew J||Common Stock|
|Oct 13, 2021||Buy||189||Behan Mark||Common Stock|
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