Arch Therapeutics Inc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Red day on Wednesday for Arch Therapeutics Inc
(Updated on May 01, 2024)
No changes to the price of Arch Therapeutics Inc stock on the last trading day (Wednesday, 1st May 2024). During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.72% from a day low at $1.16 to a day high of $1.18. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.72% gain for the last 2 weeks.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -58.16% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $0.334 and $0.577 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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ARTH Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 12.38%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume gained on the last day while the price remained unchanged. This is not a classical divergence, but the stock should be watched more closely at it may be a "turning point". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Arch Therapeutics Inc stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $1.59. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $1.17. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Arch Therapeutics Inc stock
Arch Therapeutics Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $1.13 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.0200 between high and low, or 1.72%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.345%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $1.13 (-4.36%) (This stock has very high daily movements and this gives very high risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 8 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ARTH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect Arch Therapeutics Inc to open at $1.17, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $1.07 and $1.29, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.110 (+/-9.31%) up or down from last closing price. If Arch Therapeutics Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 18.61% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $1.13, some $0.0500 (4.24%) from the current price of $1.18, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is Arch Therapeutics Inc stock A Buy?
Arch Therapeutics Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Arch Therapeutics Inc of Thursday, May 2, 2024
| Fair opening price May 2, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $1.17 ( 0.565%) | $1.18 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ARTH
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 1.19 | 1.13 % | |
| R2 | 1.19 | 0.482 % | ||
| R1 | 1.18 | 0.0825 % | ||
| Current price: | 1.18 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1.17 | -1.21 % | |
| S2 | 1.16 | -1.61 % | ||
| S3 | 1.15 | -2.26 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 0 | . | ||
| R1 | 0 | . | ||
| Current price | 1.18 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1.13 | -4.24% | |
| S2 | 1.12 | -5.30% | ||
| S3 | 1.05 | -11.02% |
FAQ
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