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Evaluation of Australian Strategic Materials Ltd stock downgraded after the last trading session
(Updated on Nov 17, 2025)
The Australian Strategic Materials Ltd stock price gained 2.86% on the last trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), rising from $0.438 to $0.450. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.65% from a day low at $0.430 to a day high of $0.450. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -24.87% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 298 more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 700 shares were bought and sold for approximately $315.00 .
The stock lies in the lower part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $0.443 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 25.25% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $0.555 and $2.07 at the end of this 3-month period.
ASMMF Signals & Forecast
Australian Strategic Materials Ltd has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Australian Strategic Materials Ltd stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $0.465 and $0.650. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, October 13, 2025, and so far it has fallen -70.49%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Australian Strategic Materials Ltd stock
Australian Strategic Materials Ltd finds support from accumulated volume at $0.444 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.0200 between high and low, or 4.65%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.59%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (ASMMF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Australian Strategic Materials Ltd to open at $0.443, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $0.401 and $0.499, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0975 (+/-24.29%) up or down from last closing price. If Australian Strategic Materials Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 24.29% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $0.444 (1.30%) than the resistance at $0.470 (4.44%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Australian Strategic Materials Ltd stock A Buy?
The Australian Strategic Materials Ltd stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Australian Strategic Materials Ltd will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-2.168
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $0.443 ( 1.48%).
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ASMMF Performance
Trading levels for ASMMF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0.463 | 2.96% |
| R2 | 0.456 | 1.27% |
| R1 | 0.451 | 0.216% |
| Price | 0.450 | |
| S1 | 0.436 | -3.18% |
| S2 | 0.431 | -4.23% |
| S3 | 0.423 | -5.93% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0.560 | 24.44% |
| R2 | 0.540 | 20.00% |
| R1 | 0.470 | 4.44% |
| Price | 0.450 | |
| S1 | 0.444 | -1.30% |
| S2 | 0.400 | -11.11% |
| S3 | 0.390 | -13.33% |
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