Aud/jpy Currency Pair Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 30, 2026 Loss -1.22%

The AUD/JPY currency pair price fell by -1.22% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from JP¥112.21 to JP¥110.84. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 1.95% from a day low at JP¥110.82 to a day high of JP¥112.99. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -2.2% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 595 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 605 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥67.09 million.

The currency pair has broken the narrow and horizontal trend down. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately JP¥111.14 is considered to be a "second chance" to get out before further fall. It is, however, important to note that false breaks may appear and that the price may move back into the horizontal trend. A break on increasing volume is considered to be more significant and reliable than breaks on low volume.

AUDJPY Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The AUD/JPY currency pair holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the currency pair. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at JP¥113.42 and JP¥112.84. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, July 27, 2026, and so far it has fallen -3.11%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the currency pair should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for AUD/JPY currency pair

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the currency pair may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this currency pair. During the last day, the currency pair moved JP¥2.17 between high and low, or 1.95%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 1.17%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (AUDJPY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect AUD/JPY to open at JP¥111.55, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥110.40 and JP¥111.28, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥0.87 (+/-0.79%) up or down from last closing price. If AUD/JPY takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.79% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ JP¥112.22, some JP¥1.38 (1.24%) from the current price of JP¥110.84, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Is AUD/JPY currency pair A Buy?

AUD/JPY holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this currency pair.

Current score: -3.885 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - JP¥111.55 ( 0.639%).

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