Aud/usd Currency Pair Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Oct 27, 2025 Loss -0.99%

The AUD/USD currency pair price fell by -0.673% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $0.654 to $0.649. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 0.345% from a day low at $0.649 to a day high of $0.651. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.66% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the currency pair, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the currency pair. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -235 thousand shares and in total, 605 shares were bought and sold for approximately $392.94 .

The currency pair is at the lower part of a narrow and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $0.647 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect AUD/USD currency pair with a 90% probability to be traded between $0.646 and $0.666 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and currency pair seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Currency pair turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

AUDUSD Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, October 10, 2025, and so far it has risen 0.320%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The AUD/USD currency pair holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the currency pair. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $0.652 and $0.653. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this currency pair may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. The currency pair had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, March 06, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the currency pair in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for AUD/USD currency pair

AUD/USD finds support from accumulated volume at $0.649 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the currency pair During the last day, the currency pair moved $0.0022 between high and low, or 0.345%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.318%

Our recommended stop-loss: $0.609 (-6.29%) (This currency pair has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 28 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (AUDUSD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect AUD/USD to open at $0.650, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $0.648 and $0.651, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0034 (+/-0.53%) up or down from last closing price. If AUD/USD takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.53% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $0.649 (0.08%) than the resistance at $0.656 (0.93%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is AUD/USD currency pair A Buy?

AUD/USD holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this currency pair since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: -0.188 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $0.650 ( 0.0606%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk