Aurora Innovation Inc - Class A Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Volatile ride for Aurora Innovation Inc - Class A stock price on Friday moving between $2.96 and $3.41
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The Aurora Innovation Inc - Class A stock price gained 12.29% on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd May 2024), rising from $2.93 to $3.29. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 15.20% from a day low at $2.96 to a day high of $3.41. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 17.5% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 10 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 15 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $48.50 million.
The stock lies in the upper part of a very wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $3.45 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 3.66% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $2.33 and $3.58 at the end of this 3-month period.
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AUR Signals & Forecast
The Aurora Innovation Inc - Class A stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $2.96 and $2.83. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, March 11, 2024, and so far it has risen 51.61%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Aurora Innovation Inc - Class A stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $3.05 and $3.02. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Aurora Innovation Inc - Class A finds support just below today's level at $3.05. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $3.02 and $3.00.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.450 between high and low, or 15.20%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 9.77%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $3.16 (-3.80%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 38 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AUR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Aurora Innovation Inc - Class A to open at $3.22, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $3.08 and $3.50, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.210 (+/-6.37%) up or down from last closing price. If Aurora Innovation Inc - Class A takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 12.75% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $3.32 (0.91%) than the support at $3.05 (7.29%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
Aurora Innovation Inc - Class A will release earnings AMC on Wednesday, May 08, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is -$0.140. We will update the financials statements for Aurora Innovation Inc - Class A, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 6.27% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Aurora Innovation Inc - Class A stock A Buy?
Aurora Innovation Inc - Class A holds several positive signals and is within a weak rising trend. As the old saying says, "Let the trend be your friend.'". We therefore consider it to be a good choice at these current levels and we are expecting further gains during the next 3 months. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Strong Buy candidate.
Current score: 6.344 Strong Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Aurora Innovation Inc - Class A of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $3.22 ( 2.13%) | $3.29 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AUR
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3.67 | 11.55 % | |
| R2 | 3.50 | 6.33 % | ||
| R1 | 3.39 | 3.10 % | ||
| Current price: | 3.29 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3.05 | -7.35 % | |
| S2 | 2.94 | -10.58 % | ||
| S3 | 2.77 | -15.81 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 3.34 | 1.52 % | ||
| R1 | 3.32 | 0.91 % | ||
| Current price | 3.29 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3.05 | -7.29% | |
| S2 | 3.02 | -8.21% | ||
| S3 | 3.00 | -8.81% |
FAQ
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