Bae Systems Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Nov 13, 2025 Loss -0.31%

The BAE Systems plc stock price fell by -0.358% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $94.97 to $94.63. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.60% from a day low at $93.92 to a day high of $95.42. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -3.29% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -20 thousand shares and in total, 26 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.46 million.

The stock is at the lower part of a wide and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $93.93 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect BAE Systems plc stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $92.73 and $109.53 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stock seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stock turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

BAESY Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the stock today. The BAE Systems plc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $94.93 and $101.23. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, November 12, 2025, and so far it has risen 0.670%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for BAE Systems plc stock

BAE Systems plc finds support from accumulated volume at $94.45 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $1.50 (1.60%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.44%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $88.77 (-6.19%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 3 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (BAESY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect BAE Systems plc to open at $94.66, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $93.76 and $95.50, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.73 (+/-1.85%) up or down from last closing price. If BAE Systems plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.85% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $94.71 (0.08%) than the support at $94.45 (0.19%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is BAE Systems plc stock A Buy?

BAE Systems plc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: -0.750 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $94.66 ( 0.0282%).

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