Aditya Birla Money Limited Stock Forecast
Aditya Birla Money Limited stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Wednesday trading session.
(Updated on Jun 26, 2024)
The Aditya Birla Money Limited stock price fell by -1.60% on the last day (Wednesday, 26th Jun 2024) from ₹169.00 to ₹166.29. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.40% from a day low at ₹165.10 to a day high of ₹170.71. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 1.48% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 32 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 230 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately ₹38.25 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 48.53% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ₹202.58 and ₹263.92 at the end of this 3-month period.
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BIRLAMONEY.NS Signals & Forecast
The Aditya Birla Money Limited stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately ₹169.28. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately ₹141.39. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, June 20, 2024, and so far it has fallen -4.40%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Aditya Birla Money Limited stock
Aditya Birla Money Limited finds support from accumulated volume at ₹163.86 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved ₹5.61 between high and low, or 3.40%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.29%.
Our recommended stop-loss: ₹161.43 (-2.92%) (This stock has very high daily movements and this gives very high risk. The RSI14 is 76 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 15 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (BIRLAMONEY.NS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 27th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 27th we expect Aditya Birla Money Limited to open at ₹167.37, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₹157.15 and ₹175.43, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₹9.14 (+/-5.50%) up or down from last closing price. If Aditya Birla Money Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 10.99% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at ₹167.06 (0.46%) than the support at ₹163.86 (1.46%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Aditya Birla Money Limited stock A Buy?
Aditya Birla Money Limited holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.993 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Aditya Birla Money Limited of Thursday, June 27, 2024
Fair opening price June 27, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
₹167.37 ( 0.647%) | ₹166.29 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BIRLAMONEY.NS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 172.98 | 4.02% |
R2 | 170.83 | 2.73% |
R1 | 169.51 | 1.94% |
Price | 166.29 | |
S1 | 165.22 | -0.641% |
S2 | 163.90 | -1.44% |
S3 | 161.76 | -2.73% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 173.95 | 4.61% |
R2 | 173.55 | 4.37% |
R1 | 167.06 | 0.463% |
Price | 166.29 | |
S1 | 163.86 | -1.46% |
S2 | 156.61 | -5.82% |
S3 | 155.65 | -6.40% |
BIRLAMONEY Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | May 22, 2008 | Sep 05, 2008 | Sep 17, 2008 | ₹0.100 | 0.177% |
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