Berkeley Group Holdings plc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Berkeley Group Holdings plc stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The Berkeley Group Holdings plc stock price gained 1.07% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024), rising from £4,652.00 to £4,702.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.20% from a day low at £4,664.00 to a day high of £4,720.00. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.07% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -136 thousand shares and in total, 147 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately £693.02 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies the upper part of a falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at £4,730.55 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -2.94% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £4,328.11 and £4,591.51 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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BKG.L Signals & Forecast
The Berkeley Group Holdings plc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at £4,638.29 and £4,644.89. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.57%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
A buy signal from a double bottom formation was found on Tuesday, April 16, 2024 and based on theory for this formation the price should go up by 7.27% to £5,044.00 within 32 trading days since signal was issued (Monday, April 29, 2024).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Berkeley Group Holdings plc stock
Berkeley Group Holdings plc finds support from accumulated volume at £4,670.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved £56.00 between high and low, or 1.20%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.50%.
Our recommended stop-loss: £4,491.18 (-4.48%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 8 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (BKG.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Berkeley Group Holdings plc to open at £4,695.33, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £4,623.11 and £4,780.89, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£78.89 (+/-1.68%) up or down from last closing price. If Berkeley Group Holdings plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.36% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at £4,670.00 (0.68%) than the resistance at £4,761.00 (1.25%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Berkeley Group Holdings plc stock A Buy?
Berkeley Group Holdings plc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.945 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Berkeley Group Holdings plc of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £4,695.33 ( 0.142%) | £4,702.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BKG.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 4,751.33 | 1.05 % | |
| R2 | 4,729.94 | 0.594 % | ||
| R1 | 4,716.73 | 0.313 % | ||
| Current price: | 4,702.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 4,673.94 | -0.597 % | |
| S2 | 4,660.73 | -0.88 % | ||
| S3 | 4,639.33 | -1.33 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 4,832.00 | 2.76 % | |
| R2 | 4,786.00 | 1.79 % | ||
| R1 | 4,761.00 | 1.25 % | ||
| Current price | 4,702.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 4,670.00 | -0.681% | |
| S2 | 4,620.00 | -1.74% | ||
| S3 | 4,617.00 | -1.81% |
BKG Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 07, 2024 | Mar 07, 2024 | Mar 29, 2024 | £33.00 | 0.694% |
| 2 | Aug 17, 2023 | Aug 17, 2023 | Aug 17, 2023 | £59.30 | 1.46% |
| 3 | Feb 23, 2023 | Mar 02, 2023 | Mar 24, 2023 | £69.44 | 1.73% |
| 4 | Aug 11, 2022 | Aug 18, 2022 | Sep 09, 2022 | £21.25 | 0.600% |
| 5 | Feb 25, 2021 | Mar 04, 2021 | Mar 19, 2021 | £9.13 | 0.208% |
FAQ
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