Topbuild Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 22, 2026 Loss -1.47%

The TopBuild Corp stock price fell by -1.47% on the last day (Tuesday, 23rd Jun 2026) from $413.47 to $407.41. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.75% from a day low at $407.41 to a day high of $414.56. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.1% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 149 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 889 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $362.09 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 8.34% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $403.84 and $561.83 at the end of this 3-month period.

BLD Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The TopBuild Corp stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $413.92 and $413.38. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 20, 2026, and so far it has fallen -16.89%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for TopBuild Corp stock

TopBuild Corp finds support from accumulated volume at $406.31 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $7.14 between high and low, or 1.75%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.79%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (BLD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect TopBuild Corp to open at $409.79, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $401.46 and $413.36, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$11.91 (+/-2.97%) up or down from last closing price. If TopBuild Corp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.97% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $406.31 (0.27%) than the resistance at $453.46 (11.30%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is TopBuild Corp stock A Buy?

The TopBuild Corp stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe TopBuild Corp will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.

Current score: -5.956 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 24, 2026 - $409.79 ( 0.585%).

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