Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Etf Shares ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Aug 05, 2026 Loss -0.43%

The Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF price fell by -0.345% on the last day (Monday, 10th Aug 2026) from $72.40 to $72.15. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.270% from a day low at $72.14 to a day high of $72.34. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.43% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -4 million shares and in total, 6 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $425.26 million.

The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $70.83 and $72.45 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

BND Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $72.30 and $72.76. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, August 03, 2026, and so far it has fallen 0%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.195 between high and low, or 0.270%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.212%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (BND) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 11th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 11th we expect Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $72.21, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $72.04 and $72.26, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.221 (+/-0.31%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.31% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $72.81, some $0.660 (0.91%) from the current price of $72.15, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Is Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?

Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

Current score: -1.786 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 11, 2026 - $72.21 ( 0.0809%).

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