Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Etf Shares ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 30, 2026

The Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF price fell by -0.407% on the last day (Tuesday, 30th Jun 2026) from $73.71 to $73.41. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.300% from a day low at $73.40 to a day high of $73.62. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.15% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 4 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 12 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $847.09 million.

The ETFis at the upper part of a narrow and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at $73.70 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $71.62 and $73.12 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

BND Signals & Forecast

The Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $73.47. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $73.17. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 29, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.407%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, June 12, 2026 in the short-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF

Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $73.36 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.220 between high and low, or 0.300%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.190%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (BND) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 1st

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 1st we expect Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $73.48, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $73.29 and $73.53, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.242 (+/-0.33%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.33% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $73.42 (0.01%) than the support at $73.36 (0.07%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For BND

Notice for BND: Ex-dividend date was Wednesday 1st July, 2026. The dividend was $0.240.

Is Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?

Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -2.470 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 1, 2026 - $73.48 ( 0.0908%).

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