Aditya Birla Sun Life Nifty ETF Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for Aditya Birla Sun Life Nifty as ETF downgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Jun 26, 2024)
The Aditya Birla Sun Life Nifty ETF price gained 0.590% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 26th Jun 2024), rising from ₹27.10 to ₹27.26. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.22% from a day low at ₹27.01 to a day high of ₹27.34. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.48% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -54 thousand shares and in total, 456 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately ₹12.44 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF has broken the weak rising the short-term trend up and an even stronger rate of rising is indicated. For any reaction back there will now be support on the roof on the current trend broken at ₹27.21, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner. According to fan-theory ₹28.54 will be the next possible trend-top level and thereby pose a resistance level that may not be broken at the first attempt.
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BSLNIFTY.NS Signals & Forecast
The Aditya Birla Sun Life Nifty ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at ₹26.99 and ₹26.15. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, June 05, 2024, and so far it has risen 5.54%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, May 14, 2024 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, May 14, 2024 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
A buy signal from a double bottom formation was found on Thursday, May 09, 2024 with a target of ₹26.12. Despite whether the objective of the signal formation has been reached the ETF may continue to perform well.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Aditya Birla Sun Life Nifty ETF
Aditya Birla Sun Life Nifty finds support from accumulated volume at ₹26.56 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved ₹0.330 between high and low, or 1.22%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.81%.
The Aditya Birla Sun Life Nifty ETF is extremely overbought on RSI14 (94). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the ETF has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the ETF will find support at the trend broken.
Our recommended stop-loss: ₹26.12 (-4.18%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. The RSI14 is 94 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 16 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (BSLNIFTY.NS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 27th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 27th we expect Aditya Birla Sun Life Nifty ETF to open at ₹27.20, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₹26.38 and ₹28.14, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₹0.88 (+/-3.24%) up or down from last closing price. If Aditya Birla Sun Life Nifty ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.47% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ ₹26.56, some ₹0.700 (2.57%) from the current price of ₹27.26, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is Aditya Birla Sun Life Nifty ETF ETF A Buy?
Aditya Birla Sun Life Nifty holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Aditya Birla Sun Life Nifty ETF of Thursday, June 27, 2024
| Fair opening price June 27, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| ₹27.20 ( 0.208%) | ₹27.26 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BSLNIFTY.NS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 27.53 | 1.00% |
| R2 | 27.41 | 0.540% |
| R1 | 27.33 | 0.255% |
| Price | 27.26 | |
| S1 | 27.08 | -0.670% |
| S2 | 27.00 | -0.96% |
| S3 | 26.87 | -1.42% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0 | - |
| R2 | 0 | - |
| R1 | 0 | - |
| Price | 27.26 | |
| S1 | 26.56 | -2.57% |
| S2 | 26.13 | -4.15% |
| S3 | 25.38 | -6.90% |
FAQ
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