Cad/jpy Currency Pair Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Oct 17, 2025 Gain 2.84%

The CAD/JPY currency pair price gained 0.225% on the last trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), rising from JP¥110.17 to JP¥110.42. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 0.596% from a day low at JP¥110.08 to a day high of JP¥110.73. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.66% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -160 thousand shares and in total, 291 shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥32.13 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The currency pair lies in the upper part of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at JP¥110.59 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the currency pair is expected to rise 3.27% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥110.54 and JP¥114.21 at the end of this 3-month period.

CADJPY Signals & Forecast

The CAD/JPY currency pair holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the currency pair. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at JP¥110.02 and JP¥108.80. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, November 12, 2025, and so far it has fallen -0.0272%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. The currency pair had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, September 12, 2025 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Wednesday, June 04, 2025.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the currency pair in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for CAD/JPY currency pair

CAD/JPY finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥107.43 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the currency pair During the last day, the currency pair moved JP¥0.656 between high and low, or 0.596%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 0.598%

Our recommended stop-loss: JP¥106.79 (-3.29%) (This currency pair has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (CADJPY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect CAD/JPY to open at JP¥110.41, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥110.03 and JP¥110.80, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥0.774 (+/-0.70%) up or down from last closing price. If CAD/JPY takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.70% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at JP¥110.45 (0.03%) than the support at JP¥107.43 (2.70%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is CAD/JPY currency pair A Buy?

CAD/JPY holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this currency pair since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.939 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - JP¥110.41 ( 0.0085%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk