VanEck Vectors ChinaAMC China Bond ETF Forecast
Red day on Monday for VanEck Vectors ChinaAMC China Bond
(Updated on May 20, 2024)
The VanEck Vectors ChinaAMC China Bond ETF price fell by -0.269% on the last day (Monday, 20th May 2024) from $21.94 to $21.88. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.114% from a day low at $21.88 to a day high of $21.91. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.5% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 2 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 2 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $41.66 thousand.
The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect VanEck Vectors ChinaAMC China Bond ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $21.66 and $21.96 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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CBON Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The VanEck Vectors ChinaAMC China Bond ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $21.93 and $21.90. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, May 03, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.564%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). VanEck Vectors ChinaAMC China Bond gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, April 30, 2024 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, April 30, 2024 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for VanEck Vectors ChinaAMC China Bond ETF
VanEck Vectors ChinaAMC China Bond finds support from accumulated volume at $21.84 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0250 between high and low, or 0.114%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.0731%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $20.59 (-5.92%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 18 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (CBON) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 21st we expect VanEck Vectors ChinaAMC China Bond ETF to open at $21.89, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $21.83 and $21.94, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0546 (+/-0.25%) up or down from last closing price. If VanEck Vectors ChinaAMC China Bond ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.50% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $21.91 (0.13%) than the support at $21.84 (0.19%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is VanEck Vectors ChinaAMC China Bond ETF ETF A Buy?
VanEck Vectors ChinaAMC China Bond holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for VanEck Vectors ChinaAMC China Bond ETF of Tuesday, May 21, 2024
Fair opening price May 21, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$21.89 ( 0.0350%) | $21.88 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CBON
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 21.91 | 0.149 % | |
R2 | 21.90 | 0.106 % | ||
R1 | 21.90 | 0.0787 % | ||
Current price: | 21.88 | |||
Support | S1 | 21.88 | -0.0086 % | |
S2 | 21.87 | -0.0356 % | ||
S3 | 21.86 | -0.0792 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 21.93 | 0.224 % | |
R2 | 21.92 | 0.178 % | ||
R1 | 21.91 | 0.133 % | ||
Current price | 21.88 | |||
Support | S1 | 21.84 | -0.187% | |
S2 | 21.81 | -0.324% | ||
S3 | 21.73 | -0.690% |
CBON Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Apr 23, 2024 | Apr 23, 2024 | Apr 29, 2024 | $0.0450 | 0.206% |
2 | Dec 14, 2023 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 05, 2024 | $0.0408 | 0.187% |
3 | Dec 14, 2023 | Mar 01, 2024 | Mar 07, 2024 | $0.0543 | 0.247% |
4 | Dec 14, 2023 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 07, 2024 | $0.0390 | 0.178% |
5 | Dec 27, 2023 | Dec 27, 2023 | Dec 27, 2023 | $0.0510 | 0.232% |
FAQ
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