Challenger Exploration Stock Forecast

Buy candidate since Nov 18, 2025

The Challenger Exploration Limited stock price fell by -7.69% on the last day (Tuesday, 18th Nov 2025) from $0.130 to $0.120. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 8.70% from a day low at $0.115 to a day high of $0.125. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0% change for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 726 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $412.40 thousand.

The stock lies in the lower part of a very wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $0.112 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 9.26% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $0.122 and $0.197 at the end of this 3-month period.

CEL.AX Signals & Forecast

The Challenger Exploration Limited stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $0.129 and $0.140. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Challenger Exploration Limited gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, November 05, 2025, and so far it has risen 9.09%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Challenger Exploration Limited stock

Challenger Exploration Limited finds support from accumulated volume at $0.115 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.0100 between high and low, or 8.70%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 7.23%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $0.116 (-3.00%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 9 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (CEL.AX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 19th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 19th we expect Challenger Exploration Limited to open at $0.120, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $0.115 and $0.125, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0108 (+/-9.42%) up or down from last closing price. If Challenger Exploration Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.42% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $0.115 (4.17%) than the resistance at $0.125 (4.17%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Challenger Exploration Limited stock A Buy?

Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 1.661 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 19, 2025 - $0.120 ( 0%).

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