Cemtrex Inc. Stock Forecast
High volatility in Cemtrex Inc. stock price on Wednesday which ended trading at $2.16
(Updated on Apr 24, 2024)
The Cemtrex Inc. stock price fell by -13.25% on the last day (Wednesday, 24th Apr 2024) from $2.49 to $2.16. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 27.50% from a day low at $2.00 to a day high of $2.55. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -33.33% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 18 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 138 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $299.14 thousand.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -2.54% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $2.11 and $4.52 at the end of this 3-month period.
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CETX Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Cemtrex Inc. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $2.89 and $3.63. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, March 06, 2024, and so far it has fallen -54.04%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Cemtrex Inc. gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Cemtrex Inc. stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.550 between high and low, or 27.50%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 14.12%.
Cemtrex Inc. is oversold on RSI14 (10). Some stocks may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but stocks that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (CETX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 25th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 25th we expect Cemtrex Inc. to open at $2.24, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $1.83 and $2.49, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.329 (+/-15.25%) up or down from last closing price. If Cemtrex Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 30.50% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $2.49, some $0.330 (15.28%) from the current price of $2.16, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Cemtrex Inc. stock A Buy?
Cemtrex Inc. holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.
Current score: -5.125 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Cemtrex Inc. of Thursday, April 25, 2024
Fair opening price April 25, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$2.24 ( 3.55%) | $2.16 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CETX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 2.79 | 29.01 % | |
R2 | 2.58 | 19.29 % | ||
R1 | 2.45 | 13.28 % | ||
Current price: | 2.16 | |||
Support | S1 | 2.03 | -6.18 % | |
S2 | 1.90 | -12.19 % | ||
S3 | 1.69 | -21.91 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 0 | . | ||
R1 | 2.49 | 15.28 % | ||
Current price | 2.16 | |||
Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
S2 | 0 | . | ||
S3 | 0 | . |
CETX Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 07, 2017 | Mar 29, 2017 | Jun 13, 2019 | $5.60 | 7.14% |
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