- High gross margin of 73.1%
- Highly efficient cash conversion (114% FCF/OCF ratio)
- Solid financial health (Piotroski 5/9)
The Carlyle Group L.P. stock downgraded to Strong Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jun 18, 2026)
The The Carlyle Group L.P. stock price fell by -1.95% on the last day (Thursday, 18th Jun 2026) from $45.69 to $44.80. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.70% from a day low at $44.65 to a day high of $46.30. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.92% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 1 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $144.41 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -7.50% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $38.42 and $46.18 at the end of this 3-month period.
CG Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The The Carlyle Group L.P. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $45.42 and $46.67. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, and so far it has fallen -4.33%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for The Carlyle Group L.P. stock
The Carlyle Group L.P. finds support from accumulated volume at $43.53 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $1.65 (3.70%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.32%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (CG) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect The Carlyle Group L.P. to open at $45.25, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $43.96 and $45.64, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.67 (+/-3.80%) up or down from last closing price. If The Carlyle Group L.P. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.80% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $45.43 (1.41%) than the support at $43.53 (2.83%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is The Carlyle Group L.P. stock A Buy?
The Carlyle Group L.P. holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.
Current score:
-5.409
Strong Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 22, 2026 - $45.25 ( 1.00%).
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CG Performance
Trading levels for CG
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 46.90 | 4.69% |
| R2 | 46.27 | 3.28% |
| R1 | 45.88 | 2.41% |
| Price | 44.80 | |
| S1 | 44.62 | -0.402% |
| S2 | 44.23 | -1.27% |
| S3 | 43.60 | -2.68% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 51.28 | 14.46% |
| R2 | 47.72 | 6.52% |
| R1 | 45.43 | 1.41% |
| Price | 44.80 | |
| S1 | 43.53 | -2.83% |
| S2 | 43.48 | -2.95% |
| S3 | 42.24 | -5.71% |
CG Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 08, 2026 | May 18, 2026 | May 28, 2026 | $0.350 | 0.699% |
| 2 | Feb 13, 2026 | Feb 13, 2026 | Feb 20, 2026 | $0.350 | 0.607% |
| 3 | Nov 10, 2025 | Nov 10, 2025 | Nov 19, 2025 | $0.350 | 0.684% |
| 4 | Aug 07, 2025 | Aug 18, 2025 | Aug 28, 2025 | $0.350 | 0.562% |
| 5 | Apr 23, 2025 | May 19, 2025 | May 27, 2025 | $0.350 | 0.749% |
FAQ
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