Churchill China plc Stock Forecast
Red day on Friday for Churchill China plc stock after losing 1.25%
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The Churchill China plc stock price fell by -1.25% on the last day (Friday, 3rd May 2024) from £1,200.00 to £1,185.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.61% from a day low at £1,150.00 to a day high of £1,203.00. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.25% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -3 thousand shares and in total, 7 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately £8.65 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at £1,220.14 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -5.78% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £891.05 and £1,149.64 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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CHH.L Signals & Forecast
The Churchill China plc stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately £1,190.71. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately £1,160.46. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 22, 2024, and so far it has fallen -3.74%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Churchill China plc stock
Churchill China plc finds support from accumulated volume at £1,175.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved £53.00 between high and low, or 4.61%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.90%.
Our recommended stop-loss: £1,125.72 (-5.00%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 9 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (CHH.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 7th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 7th we expect Churchill China plc to open at £1,179.33, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £1,114.16 and £1,255.83, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£70.83 (+/-5.98%) up or down from last closing price. If Churchill China plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 11.96% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at £1,175.00 (0.84%) than the resistance at £1,200.00 (1.27%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Churchill China plc stock A Buy?
Churchill China plc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.109 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Churchill China plc of Tuesday, May 7, 2024
| Fair opening price May 7, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £1,179.33 ( 0.478%) | £1,185.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CHH.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 1,232.33 | 3.99 % | |
| R2 | 1,212.09 | 2.29 % | ||
| R1 | 1,199.58 | 1.23 % | ||
| Current price: | 1,185.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1,159.09 | -2.19 % | |
| S2 | 1,146.58 | -3.24 % | ||
| S3 | 1,126.33 | -4.95 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 1,325.00 | 11.81 % | |
| R2 | 1,210.00 | 2.11 % | ||
| R1 | 1,200.00 | 1.27 % | ||
| Current price | 1,185.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1,175.00 | -0.84% | |
| S2 | 1,025.00 | -13.50% | ||
| S3 | 1,010.00 | -14.77% |
CHH Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 16, 2024 | May 16, 2024 | Jun 17, 2024 | £25.00 | 2.11% |
| 2 | May 18, 2023 | May 18, 2023 | May 18, 2023 | £21.00 | 1.54% |
| 3 | Sep 13, 2022 | Sep 22, 2022 | Sep 30, 2022 | £10.50 | 0.81% |
| 4 | Apr 21, 2022 | Jun 01, 2022 | Jun 27, 2022 | £17.30 | 1.22% |
| 5 | Jul 06, 2021 | Aug 05, 2021 | Sep 03, 2021 | £6.70 | 0.340% |
FAQ
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