Chemung Financial Corp Stock Forecast

On Friday, Chemung Financial Corp stock price gained an impressive 6.74%
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)

CHMG Signals & Forecast

The Chemung Financial Corp stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $44.08 and $43.39. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, June 21, 2024, and so far it has risen 14.18%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, June 10, 2024 in the short-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Chemung Financial Corp stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $44.69 and $43.50. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Chemung Financial Corp finds support just below today's level at $44.69. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $43.50 and $42.04.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $3.70 between high and low, or 8.22%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.48%.

The Chemung Financial Corp stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (80). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the stock has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.

Our recommended stop-loss: $45.82 (-4.55%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. The RSI14 is 80 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 23 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (CHMG) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect Chemung Financial Corp to open at $47.23, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $47.09 and $48.91, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.91 (+/-1.90%) up or down from last closing price. If Chemung Financial Corp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.79% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $44.69, some $3.31 (6.90%) from the current price of $48.00, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is Chemung Financial Corp stock A Buy?

Chemung Financial Corp holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Opening Price for Chemung Financial Corp of Monday, July 1, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.