Cincinnati Financial Corporation Stock Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for Cincinnati Financial Corporation as stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Jul 02, 2024)
The Cincinnati Financial Corporation stock price fell by -0.285% on the last day (Tuesday, 2nd Jul 2024) from $119.19 to $118.85. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.16% from a day low at $118.12 to a day high of $119.49. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 4.43% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 191 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 725 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $86.22 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $119.12 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -3.53% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $103.92 and $114.92 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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CINF Signals & Forecast
The Cincinnati Financial Corporation stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $117.17 and $116.30. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, July 01, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.285%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, December 27, 2023 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, December 27, 2023 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Cincinnati Financial Corporation stock
Cincinnati Financial Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $118.10 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $1.36 between high and low, or 1.16%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.53%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $115.68 (-2.67%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 11 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (CINF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect Cincinnati Financial Corporation to open at $118.82, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $116.97 and $120.73, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.88 (+/-1.58%) up or down from last closing price. If Cincinnati Financial Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.17% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $118.10 (0.63%) than the resistance at $119.92 (0.90%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Cincinnati Financial Corporation stock A Buy?
Cincinnati Financial Corporation holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.134 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Cincinnati Financial Corporation of Wednesday, July 3, 2024
Fair opening price July 3, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$118.82 ( 0.0266%) | $118.85 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CINF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 120.18 | 1.12% |
R2 | 119.66 | 0.683% |
R1 | 119.34 | 0.412% |
Price | 118.85 | |
S1 | 118.30 | -0.465% |
S2 | 117.97 | -0.736% |
S3 | 117.45 | -1.18% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 120.84 | 1.67% |
R2 | 119.95 | 0.93% |
R1 | 119.92 | 0.90% |
Price | 118.85 | |
S1 | 118.10 | -0.631% |
S2 | 113.55 | -4.46% |
S3 | 110.88 | -6.71% |
CINF Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | May 04, 2024 | Jun 18, 2024 | Jul 15, 2024 | $0.81 | 0.681% |
2 | May 04, 2024 | Jun 14, 2024 | Jul 15, 2024 | $0.81 | 0.681% |
3 | Jan 26, 2024 | Mar 18, 2024 | Apr 15, 2024 | $0.81 | 0.693% |
4 | Nov 17, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Jan 16, 2024 | $0.750 | 0.699% |
5 | Aug 25, 2023 | Sep 15, 2023 | Oct 16, 2023 | $0.750 | 0.727% |
FAQ
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