Cincinnati Financial Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 13, 2025 Loss -0.63%

The Cincinnati Financial Corporation stock price fell by -0.178% on the last day (Friday, 20th Jun 2025) from $145.70 to $145.44. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.13% from a day low at $145.18 to a day high of $146.82. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.96% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 548 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $150.02 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 8.67% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $148.58 and $167.55 at the end of this 3-month period.

CINF Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Cincinnati Financial Corporation stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $146.39 and $147.66. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 02, 2025, and so far it has fallen -4.06%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Cincinnati Financial Corporation stock

Cincinnati Financial Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $139.85 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $1.64 between high and low, or 1.13%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.63%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (CINF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 23rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 23rd we expect Cincinnati Financial Corporation to open at $145.81, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $142.64 and $148.24, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.80 (+/-1.93%) up or down from last closing price. If Cincinnati Financial Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.85% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $145.62 (0.12%) than the support at $139.85 (3.84%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For CINF

Dividend warning for CINF: Ex-dividend date is approaching in 0 days on Monday 23rd June, 2025. The dividend to be paid is $0.87, which is a small dividend (0.598%). The stock is expected to open approximately 0.598% lower on the ex-dividend date.

Is Cincinnati Financial Corporation stock A Buy?

The Cincinnati Financial Corporation stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Cincinnati Financial Corporation will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -2.095 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 23, 2025 - $145.81 ( 0.257%).

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