Commercial Metals Company Stock Forecast
Commercial Metals Company stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Wednesday trading session.
(Updated on May 01, 2024)
The Commercial Metals Company stock price gained 0.84% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 1st May 2024), rising from $53.74 to $54.19. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.35% from a day low at $53.75 to a day high of $55.01. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.01% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -228 thousand shares and in total, 691 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $37.45 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $53.64 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 5.80% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $56.75 and $64.03 at the end of this 3-month period.
Ready to grow your portfolio? Here's your beginner's guide to opening a free brokerage account.
CMC Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Commercial Metals Company stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $55.99. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $54.02. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 26, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.33%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, March 14, 2024 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, March 14, 2024 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Commercial Metals Company stock
Commercial Metals Company finds support from accumulated volume at $53.80 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.27 between high and low, or 2.35%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.23%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $51.30 (-5.33%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (CMC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect Commercial Metals Company to open at $54.32, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $52.85 and $55.53, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.34 (+/-2.48%) up or down from last closing price. If Commercial Metals Company takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.96% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $53.80 (0.72%) than the resistance at $56.01 (3.36%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Commercial Metals Company stock A Buy?
Commercial Metals Company holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.367 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Commercial Metals Company of Thursday, May 2, 2024
Fair opening price May 2, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$54.32 ( 0.231%) | $54.19 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CMC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 55.58 | 2.57 % | |
R2 | 55.10 | 1.67 % | ||
R1 | 54.80 | 1.12 % | ||
Current price: | 54.19 | |||
Support | S1 | 53.83 | -0.661 % | |
S2 | 53.53 | -1.21 % | ||
S3 | 53.05 | -2.10 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 59.00 | 8.88 % | |
R2 | 57.87 | 6.79 % | ||
R1 | 56.01 | 3.36 % | ||
Current price | 54.19 | |||
Support | S1 | 53.80 | -0.720% | |
S2 | 53.60 | -1.09% | ||
S3 | 53.10 | -2.01% |
CMC Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 20, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | Apr 10, 2024 | $0.180 | 0.315% |
2 | Jan 17, 2024 | Jan 17, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | $0.160 | 0.308% |
3 | Oct 10, 2023 | Oct 25, 2023 | Nov 09, 2023 | $0.160 | 0.355% |
4 | Jun 21, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | Jul 12, 2023 | $0.160 | 0.288% |
5 | Mar 21, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | Apr 12, 2023 | $0.160 | 0.338% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Commercial Metals Company Stock.