Community Bancorp Stock Forecast
Stronger technical forecast for Community Bancorp stock price after Friday trading.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The Community Bancorp stock price fell by -3.70% on the last day (Friday, 3rd May 2024) from $15.95 to $15.36. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.78% from a day low at $15.36 to a day high of $15.94. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -7.57% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 1 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $21.72 thousand.
The stock lies in the lower of a falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $15.23 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -8.24% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $13.97 and $15.17 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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CMTV Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 30, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.392%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Community Bancorp stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $15.71 and $16.32. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Community Bancorp gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Community Bancorp stock
Community Bancorp finds support from accumulated volume at $15.30 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.580 between high and low, or 3.78%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.72%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $14.57 (-5.13%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (CMTV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Community Bancorp to open at $15.55, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $15.05 and $15.67, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.312 (+/-2.03%) up or down from last closing price. If Community Bancorp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.06% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $15.30 (0.39%) than the resistance at $15.74 (2.47%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Community Bancorp stock A Buy?
Community Bancorp holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Community Bancorp of Monday, May 6, 2024
Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$15.55 ( 1.26%) | $15.36 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CMTV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 16.13 | 5.03 % | |
R2 | 15.91 | 3.59 % | ||
R1 | 15.77 | 2.70 % | ||
Current price: | 15.36 | |||
Support | S1 | 15.33 | -0.184 % | |
S2 | 15.19 | -1.07 % | ||
S3 | 14.97 | -2.52 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 16.60 | 8.07 % | |
R2 | 16.59 | 7.99 % | ||
R1 | 15.74 | 2.47 % | ||
Current price | 15.36 | |||
Support | S1 | 15.30 | -0.391% | |
S2 | 0 | . | ||
S3 | 0 | . |
CMTV Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 20, 2024 | Apr 12, 2024 | May 01, 2024 | $0.230 | 1.44% |
2 | Dec 20, 2023 | Jan 12, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | $0.230 | 1.26% |
3 | Dec 21, 2023 | Jan 11, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | $0.230 | 1.26% |
4 | Sep 21, 2023 | Oct 12, 2023 | Nov 01, 2023 | $0.230 | 1.28% |
5 | Jun 14, 2023 | Jul 13, 2023 | Aug 01, 2023 | $0.230 | 1.28% |
FAQ
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