Community Bancorp Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Community Bancorp stock upgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
No changes to the price of Community Bancorp stock on the last trading day (Friday, 17th May 2024). During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0% from a day low at $15.51 to a day high of $15.51. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.98% gain for the last 2 weeks.
The stock lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -6.35% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $14.11 and $15.39 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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CMTV Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Community Bancorp stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $16.10 and $16.22. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume fell on the last day without any changes to the price. This does not cause any direct divergence but may be an early warning and a possible "turning point". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, May 16, 2024, and so far it has fallen 0%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Community Bancorp stock
Community Bancorp finds support from accumulated volume at $15.36 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved $0 between high and low, or 0%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.309%
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (CMTV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect Community Bancorp to open at $15.51, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $15.25 and $15.77, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.260 (+/-1.68%) up or down from last closing price. If Community Bancorp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.35% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $15.36 (0.97%) than the resistance at $15.74 (1.48%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Community Bancorp stock A Buy?
Community Bancorp holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Sell to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -3.987 Sell Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Community Bancorp of Monday, May 20, 2024
| Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $15.51 ( 0%) | $15.51 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CMTV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 15.51 | . | |
| R2 | 15.51 | . | ||
| R1 | 15.51 | . | ||
| Current price: | 15.51 | |||
| Support | S1 | 15.51 | . | |
| S2 | 15.51 | . | ||
| S3 | 15.51 | . |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 16.60 | 7.03 % | |
| R2 | 16.59 | 6.95 % | ||
| R1 | 15.74 | 1.48 % | ||
| Current price | 15.51 | |||
| Support | S1 | 15.36 | -0.97% | |
| S2 | 15.30 | -1.35% | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
CMTV Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 20, 2024 | Apr 12, 2024 | May 01, 2024 | $0.230 | 1.44% |
| 2 | Dec 20, 2023 | Jan 12, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | $0.230 | 1.26% |
| 3 | Dec 21, 2023 | Jan 11, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | $0.230 | 1.26% |
| 4 | Sep 21, 2023 | Oct 12, 2023 | Nov 01, 2023 | $0.230 | 1.28% |
| 5 | Jun 14, 2023 | Jul 13, 2023 | Aug 01, 2023 | $0.230 | 1.28% |
FAQ
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