Canadian Natural Resources Limited Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Canadian Natural Resources Limited stock price ended at $102.10 on Friday, after losing 0.283%.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The Canadian Natural Resources Limited stock price fell by -0.283% on the last day (Friday, 3rd May 2024) from $102.39 to $102.10. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.65% from a day low at $101.38 to a day high of $103.05. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -3.05% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -52 thousand shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $195.21 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 30.58% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $133.33 and $157.14 at the end of this 3-month period.
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CNQ.TO Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Canadian Natural Resources Limited stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $104.41 and $105.07. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, April 10, 2024, and so far it has fallen -9.33%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Canadian Natural Resources Limited stock
Canadian Natural Resources Limited finds support from accumulated volume at $99.61 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.67 between high and low, or 1.65%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.90%.
Canadian Natural Resources Limited is oversold on RSI14 (22). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: $96.87 (-5.12%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. Low RSI14 is 22 which reduces the risk some. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 17 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (CNQ.TO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Canadian Natural Resources Limited to open at $102.18, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $100.09 and $104.11, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.01 (+/-1.97%) up or down from last closing price. If Canadian Natural Resources Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.94% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $99.61 (2.44%) than the resistance at $108.53 (6.30%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Canadian Natural Resources Limited stock A Buy?
Canadian Natural Resources Limited holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: -0.440 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Canadian Natural Resources Limited of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $102.18 ( 0.0751%) | $102.10 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CNQ.TO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 103.85 | 1.71 % | |
| R2 | 103.21 | 1.09 % | ||
| R1 | 102.81 | 0.700 % | ||
| Current price: | 102.10 | |||
| Support | S1 | 101.54 | -0.550 % | |
| S2 | 101.14 | -0.94 % | ||
| S3 | 100.51 | -1.56 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 110.32 | 8.05 % | |
| R2 | 109.04 | 6.80 % | ||
| R1 | 108.53 | 6.30 % | ||
| Current price | 102.10 | |||
| Support | S1 | 99.61 | -2.44% | |
| S2 | 98.28 | -3.74% | ||
| S3 | 96.96 | -5.03% |
CNQ Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 29, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | Apr 05, 2024 | $1.05 | 0.95% |
| 2 | Dec 07, 2023 | Dec 07, 2023 | Dec 07, 2023 | $0 | 0% |
| 3 | Aug 02, 2023 | Sep 14, 2023 | Oct 05, 2023 | $0.90 | 1.09% |
| 4 | May 04, 2023 | Jun 15, 2023 | Oct 05, 2023 | $0.90 | 1.09% |
| 5 | Mar 02, 2023 | Mar 16, 2023 | Apr 05, 2023 | $0.90 | 1.13% |
FAQ
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