Coherent Stock Forecast

Buy candidate since Apr 24, 2025 Gain 1.54%

The Coherent stock price gained 1.54% on the last trading day (Friday, 25th Apr 2025), rising from $63.51 to $64.49. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.37% from a day low at $62.89 to a day high of $65.64. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 16.32% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -1 million shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $127.88 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $66.46 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -37.00% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $26.31 and $41.87 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

COHR Signals & Forecast

Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Coherent stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $57.90 and $62.37. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 04, 2025, and so far it has risen 27.50%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Coherent stock

Coherent finds support from accumulated volume at $63.04 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $2.75 between high and low, or 4.37%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.04%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $62.45 (-3.16%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 14 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (COHR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 28th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 28th we expect Coherent to open at $64.34, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $59.08 and $69.90, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$5.41 (+/-8.38%) up or down from last closing price. If Coherent takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 16.76% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $63.04 (2.25%) than the resistance at $66.54 (3.18%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Coherent stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 1.915 Buy Candidate Unchanged

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on April 28, 2025 - $64.34 ( 0.233%).