Copa Holdings SA Stock Forecast
Copa Holdings SA stock upgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The Copa Holdings SA stock price fell by -0.192% on the last day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024) from $99.14 to $98.95. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.73% from a day low at $97.78 to a day high of $99.48. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 2.65% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -67 thousand shares and in total, 140 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $13.89 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.66% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $98.68 and $109.92 at the end of this 3-month period.
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CPA Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Copa Holdings SA stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $100.11 and $101.66. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 22, 2024, and so far it has fallen -3.36%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Copa Holdings SA stock
Copa Holdings SA finds support from accumulated volume at $98.10 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.69 between high and low, or 1.73%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.64%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $93.77 (-5.24%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (CPA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Copa Holdings SA to open at $98.74, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $96.15 and $101.75, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.80 (+/-2.83%) up or down from last closing price. If Copa Holdings SA takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.67% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $98.10 (0.86%) than the resistance at $100.13 (1.19%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Copa Holdings SA stock A Buy?
Copa Holdings SA holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.415 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Copa Holdings SA of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $98.74 ( 0.217%) | $98.95 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CPA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 100.43 | 1.50 % | |
| R2 | 99.78 | 0.84 % | ||
| R1 | 99.38 | 0.437 % | ||
| Current price: | 98.95 | |||
| Support | S1 | 98.09 | -0.87 % | |
| S2 | 97.69 | -1.28 % | ||
| S3 | 97.04 | -1.93 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 104.16 | 5.27 % | |
| R2 | 100.88 | 1.95 % | ||
| R1 | 100.13 | 1.19 % | ||
| Current price | 98.95 | |||
| Support | S1 | 98.10 | -0.86% | |
| S2 | 97.90 | -1.06% | ||
| S3 | 96.40 | -2.58% |
CPA Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 07, 2024 | Feb 28, 2024 | Mar 15, 2024 | $1.61 | 1.56% |
| 2 | Nov 15, 2023 | Nov 29, 2023 | Dec 15, 2023 | $0.82 | 0.81% |
| 3 | Aug 09, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | Oct 13, 2023 | $0.82 | 0.97% |
| 4 | May 10, 2023 | May 30, 2023 | Jun 15, 2023 | $0.82 | 0.728% |
| 5 | Mar 22, 2023 | Apr 04, 2023 | Apr 20, 2023 | $0.82 | 0.91% |
FAQ
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