Consumer Portfolio Services Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Consumer Portfolio Services stock upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on Jul 02, 2024)
The Consumer Portfolio Services stock price fell by -3.79% on the last day (Tuesday, 2nd Jul 2024) from $10.03 to $9.65. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.73% from a day low at $9.65 to a day high of $10.01. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 11.56% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -50 thousand shares and in total, 15 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $143.77 thousand.
The stock lies in the upper part of a very wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $10.04 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 6.42% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $8.44 and $10.68 at the end of this 3-month period.
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CPSS Signals & Forecast
The Consumer Portfolio Services stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $9.47 and $8.60. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, July 01, 2024, and so far it has fallen -3.79%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Consumer Portfolio Services stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $8.54 and $8.28. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Consumer Portfolio Services finds support just below today's level at $8.54. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $8.28 and $8.24.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.360 between high and low, or 3.73%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 8.80%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $9.20 (-4.65%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 33 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (CPSS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect Consumer Portfolio Services to open at $9.77, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $9.08 and $10.22, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.570 (+/-5.91%) up or down from last closing price. If Consumer Portfolio Services takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 11.82% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $9.80 (1.55%) than the support at $8.54 (11.50%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Consumer Portfolio Services stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Consumer Portfolio Services stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 3.263 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Consumer Portfolio Services of Wednesday, July 3, 2024
| Fair opening price July 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $9.77 ( 1.24%) | $9.65 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CPSS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 10.13 | 4.97% |
| R2 | 9.99 | 3.55% |
| R1 | 9.91 | 2.67% |
| Price | 9.65 | |
| S1 | 9.63 | -0.182% |
| S2 | 9.55 | -1.06% |
| S3 | 9.41 | -2.49% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0 | - |
| R2 | 10.03 | 3.94% |
| R1 | 9.80 | 1.55% |
| Price | 9.65 | |
| S1 | 8.54 | -11.50% |
| S2 | 8.28 | -14.20% |
| S3 | 8.24 | -14.61% |
FAQ
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